منابع مشابه
A note on GARCH model identification
Financial returns are often modeled as autoregressive time series with innovations having conditional heteroscedastic variances, especially with GARCH processes. The conditional distribution in GARCH models is assumed to follow a parametric distribution. Typically, this error distribution is selected without justification. In this paper, we have applied the results of Thavaneswaran and Ghahrama...
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We consider the parameter restrictions that need to be imposed in order to ensure that the conditional variance process of a GARCH(p, q) model remains non-negative. Previously, Nelson and Cao (1992) provided a set of necessary and sufficient conditions for the aforementioned non-negativity property for GARCH(p, q) models with p ≤ 2, and derived a sufficient condition for the general case of GAR...
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This paper investigates the trend in the monthly real price of oil between 1990 and 2008 with a generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model. Trend and volatility are estimated jointly with the maximum likelihood estimation. There is long persistence in the variance of oil price shocks, and a GARCH unit root (GUR) test can potentially yield a significant power gain re...
متن کاملA Primer on the Orthogonal GARCH Model
During the last few years there have been many changes in the way that financial institutions model risk. New risk capital regulations have motivated a need for vertically integrated risk systems based on a unified framework throughout the whole office. If the risk exposures in all locations of a large institution are to be netted, the risk system must also be horizontally integrated and regula...
متن کاملOn a Threshold Multivariate GARCH Model
This paper proposes a threshold multivariate GARCH model (Threshold MGARCH) which integrates threshold nonlinearity, mean and volatility asymmetries and time-varying correlation in financial markets. The main feature of this model is that the mean, volatility and time-varying correlation can be governed by different threshold variables with different number of regimes. Estimation is performed u...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Computers & Mathematics with Applications
سال: 2008
ISSN: 0898-1221
DOI: 10.1016/j.camwa.2007.10.001