Coupling agricultural system models with machine learning to facilitate regional predictions of management practices and crop production

نویسندگان

چکیده

Abstract Process-based agricultural system models are a major tool for assessing climate-agriculture-management interactions. However, their application across large scales is limited by computational cost, model uncertainty, and data availability, hindering policy-making sustainable production at the scale meaningful land management farmers. Using Agricultural Production System sIMulator (APSIM) as an example model, APSIM was run 101 years from 1980 to 2080 in typical cropping region (i.e., Huang-Huai-Hai plain) of China. Then, machine learning (ML)-based were trained emulate performance used map crop soil carbon (which key indicator health quality) dynamics under great number nitrogen water scenarios. We found that ML-based emulators can accurately quickly reproduce predictions yield different spatial resolutions, capture main processes driving with much less input data. In addition, be easily applied identify optimal achieve potential sequester region. The approach modelling other complex systems amplifying usage guiding strategies address global environmental challenges agriculture intensification.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Environmental Research Letters

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['1748-9326']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac9c71