Option Pricing Using EGARCH Models - Proceedings AFIR 1996 - Nürnberg, Germany

نویسنده

  • Christian Schmitt
چکیده

Various e m p i r i d studies have shown that the time-varying volatility of asset returns can be described by GARCH (generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity) models. The corresponding GARCH option pricing model of Duan (1995) is capable of depicting the "smile-effect" which often can be found in option prices. In some derivative markets, however, the slope of the smile is not symmetrical. In this paper an option pricing model in the context of the EGARCH (Exponential GARCH) process will be developed. Extensive numerical analyses suggest that the EGARCH option pricing model is able to explain the different slopes of the smile curve. R C U d Plusieurs etudes empiriques suggbrent d'apprthender la volatilit6 temporelle de variables financibres h l'aide de modbles GARCH (generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity). Duan (1995) rtussit h l'aide d'un modble GARCH h d&rire les "smile-effect'' souvent observts lors d e la fixation des prix d'option. N h m o i n s sur certains marchts dtrivatifs, la pente de l'effet "smile" n'est pas symttrique. L'objet de cet article est de modtliser les prix d'option h partir d'un modble EGARCH (Exponential GARCH). Les analyses numtriques pdsentees h partir de ce modble montrent que ces dtveloppements sont h m&me d'expliquer difftrentes pentes pour l'effet "smile".

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Pricing of Equity-linked Life Insurance Policies with an Asset Value Guarantee and Periodic Premiums - Proceedings AFIR 1996 - Nürnberg, Germany

In the present paper we establish a quasi-explicit formula for the periodic premium under an equity-linked endowment policy with asset value guarantee in an economy with interest rate risk. R&llml? Le pr6sent article examine 1 'kvaluation d 'une prime periodique d 'assurance pour le produit unit-linked qui contient complCmentairement un rendement garanti. Nous proposons une solution de type qua...

متن کامل

Forecasting the Exchange Rate: A Comparison Between Econometric and Neural Network Models - Proceedings AFIR 1996 - Nürnberg, Germany

In this paper the performance of four linear models of the exchange rate Spanish peseta/US dollar is compared with that of Artificial Neural Networks. The models are a random walk process and three different specifications based on the purchasing power parity (PPP) theory. The aim is to examine whether potentially highly nonlinear neural network models outperform traditional methods or give at ...

متن کامل

Tactical Asset Allocation: Predictability of Capital Markets Using Error Correction Models - Proceedings AFIR 1996 - Nürnberg, Germany

How to optimize returns of an international equity or bond portfolio? Which bets should we make between bonds and stocks on a domestic balanced portfolio? Access to capital markets has become increasingly easier for investors. In this context, the Tactical Asset Allocation (TAA), which refers to how a portfolio's funds would be allocated, given the investor's short-term forecasts, is an essenti...

متن کامل

Option Pricing on Commodity Prices Using Jump Diffusion Models

In this paper, we aim at developing a model for option pricing to reduce the risks associated with Ethiopian commodity prices fluctuations. We used the daily closed Unwashed Lekempti grade 5 (ULK5) coffee and Whitish Wollega Sesame Seed Grade3 (WWSS3) prices obtained from Ethiopia commodity exchange (ECX) market to analyse the prices fluctuations.The natures of log-returns of the prices exhibit a...

متن کامل

Modeling Gold Volatility: Realized GARCH Approach

F orecasting the volatility of a financial asset has wide implications in finance. Conditional variance extracted from the GARCH framework could be a suitable proxy of financial asset volatility. Option pricing, portfolio optimization, and risk management are examples of implications of conditional variance forecasting. One of the most recent methods of volatility forecasting is Real...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2002