A method to calculate the acceptance probability and risk of rejection of bid prices on the electricity market
After restructuring, Iran’s electricity market has become one of the most competitive markets in which generation companies offer their proposed price on several price benches. So, the decisions in this market can use statistical concepts. In this paper, a conceptual model is presented according to simultaneous analysis of probabilistic distribution for historical data of market clearing price and frequency of acceptance of bids. Based on this model, the probable value of market clearing price is measured through the risk of historical data price intervals and the decision is made about bidding strategy. Also, a method is proposed to calculate the probability of acceptance and risk of rejection of bids on the electricity market. The data (Spring 2014) from a power plant as a numerical example have been used to implement the method. The results show that there is no direct relation between the high or low price intervals and the risk of acceptance, but the probable data regarding the distribution of price intervals should be analyzed. Also, due to the risk of the proposed bid prices, this model is capable of applying risk-taking and risk-aversion and finally appropriate bid price is selected based on the risk appetite and acceptable risk level.
“the effect of risk aversion on the demand for life insurance: the case of iranian life insurance market”
abstract: about 60% of total premium of insurance industry is pertained?to life policies in the world; while the life insurance total premium in iran is less than 6% of total premium in insurance industry in 2008 (sigma, no 3/2009). among the reasons that discourage the life insurance industry is the problem of adverse selection. adverse selection theory describes a situation where the inf...15 صفحه اول
the evaluation and comparison of two esp textbooks available on the iranian market for teaching english to the students of medicine
abstract this study evaluated and compared medical terminology and english for the students of medicine (ii) as two representatives of the textbooks available on the iranian market for teaching english to the students of medicine. this research was performed on the basis of a teacher’s and a number of students’ attitudes and the students’ needs analysis for two reasons: first, to investigate...15 صفحه اول
the aim of this thesis is an approach for assessing insurer’s solvency for iranian insurance companies. we use of economic data with both time series and cross-sectional variation, thus by using the panel data model will survey the insurer solvency.
a synchronic and diachronic approach to the change route of address terms in the two recent centuries of persian language
terms of address as an important linguistics items provide valuable information about the interlocutors, their relationship and their circumstances. this study was done to investigate the change route of persian address terms in the two recent centuries including three historical periods of qajar, pahlavi and after the islamic revolution. data were extracted from a corpus consisting 24 novels w...15 صفحه اول
on the practicality and effectiveness of a personalized eclectic method incorporated into iranian high school efl syllabus
همگام با سرعت در حال رشد خلاقیت و نوآوری های آموزش زبان به ویژه ظهور روش ارتباطی آموزش زبان? بسیاری از مدارس زبان با بازاندیشی آموزش و پرورش خود? برای گنجاندن فعالیت های ارتباطی، وزمینه ی شخصی سازی شده به شیوه های سنتی خود به روز رسانی شده اند. با این حال، مدارس ایرانی در این زمینه آهسته پیش رفته اند. از این رو، هدف عمده ی پژوهش حاضر برداشتن یک گام در پر کردن شکاف بین نظریه های آموزشی نو ظهور و...15 صفحه اول
on translation of phatic communion and socio-cultural relationships between the characters of the novels
phatic communion is a cultural concept which differs across cultures. according to hofstede (2001), the u.s. tends to have individualistic culture; however, asian countries tend to have collectivistic cultures. these cultures view phatic communion differently. in individualistic cultures like u.s., phatic communion reflects speakers’ socio-cultural relationships in conversations. to see whether...15 صفحه اول
دوره 9 شماره 2
صفحات 55- 59
تاریخ انتشار 2020-06
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