We investigated the inter-day effects of price limits policies that are employed in agent-based simulations. To isolate the impact of price limits from the impact of other factors, we built an artificial stock market with higher frequency price limits hitting. The trading mechanisms in this market are the same as the trading mechanisms in China's stock market. Then, we designed a series of simu...

there are two major methods in predincing the pattern of share value in the stock market: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. i this study we developed a novel model for fundamental analysis of share price and validated it by predicting the behavior of phrama share price in tehran stock market. the efficiency of the fundamental method was compared with that of indicator-based technical...

The optimal strategies for a long-term static investor are studied. Given a portfolio of a stock and a bond, we derive the optimal allocation of the capitols to maximize the expected long-term growth rate of a utility function of the wealth. When the bond has constant interest rate, three models for the underlying stock price processes are studied: Heston model, 3/2 model and jump diffusion mod...

â â â  â â â â â  the main purpose of present study is to analyze the relationship between stock and exchange markets in two asian countries, iran and south korea. a monthly time series of stock price and exchange rate are used over the period 2002: 05 - 2012: 03. the data is collected from the central bank of each country and wdi. the calculated stock return and real exchange rate change are u...

modelling and forecasting stock market is a challenging task for economists and engineers since it has a dynamic structure and nonlinear characteristic. this nonlinearity affects the efficiency of the price characteristics. using an artificial neural network (ann) is a proper way to model this nonlinearity and it has been used successfully in one-step-ahead and multi-step-ahead prediction of di...

We derive optimal portfolio weights for an investor who has specific beliefs regarding the distribution of a stock price at a future time. For example, a fundamental investor will want to take advantage of the information his analysis provides when constructing a portfolio. In this regard, we examine the optimal weights for models in which the investor believes that there is a range in which th...

The aim of this study is to investigate a behavioral approach by anchoring bias as a criterion to explain 52-week-high strategy and trough this we can find an explain for momentum strategy at uncertainty situation, to the companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange. The information uncertainty criteria include the book value to market value (BV / MV), company age (Age), the size of the entity...

The present research aims to evaluate impacts of crude oil price return index, Bloomberg Petroleum Index and Bloomberg energy index on stock market returns of 121 companies listed in Tehran stock exchange in a 10 years' period from early 2006 to April 2016. First, explanatory variables were aligned with petroleum products index mostly due to application of dollar data. Subsequently, to check va...

T his study examines how oil price shocks interact with the stock market index within a nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag model in Iran. Based on quarterly data for the period from 1991 to 2017, the findings revealed statistically significant evidence of short-run and long-run asymmetric behavior of stock market index in response to the positive a...

This paper investigates the relationship between aggregate stock market trading volume and the serial correlation of daily stock returns. For both stock indexes and individual large stocks, the first-order daily return autocorrelation tends to decline with volume. The paper explains this phenomenon using a model in which risk-averse "market makers" accommodate buying or selling pressure from "l...