The formal stochastic model of voting should be the theoretical benchmark against which empirical models can be gauged. A standard result in the formal model is the ‘mean voter theorem’ stating that parties converge to the electoral center. Empirical analysis based on the vote-maximizing premise, however, invalidates this convergence result. We consider both empirical and formal models that inc...

Applications of choice models to brand purchase data as a rule specify a linear deterministic utility function. We estimate deterministic utility by means of a neural net able to approximate any continuous multivariate function and its derivatives to a desired level of precision. We compare this model to related alternatives both with linear and nonlinear utility functions. Alternatives with no...

Logit dynamics [Blume, Games and Economic Behavior, 1993] is a randomized best response dynamics where at every time step a player is selected uniformly at random and she chooses a new strategy according to the “logit choice function”, i.e. a probability distribution biased towards strategies promising higher payoffs, where the bias level corresponds to the degree of rationality of the agents. ...

Balance-sheet data offer a potentially large number of candidate predictors of corporate financial failure. In this paper we provide a novel predictor selection procedure based on non-parametric regression and classification tree method (CART) and test its performance within a standard logit model. We show that a simple logit model with dummy variables created in accordance with the nodes of es...

This paper uses data on automobile purchases to compare two alternatives to the multinomial logit model. The results indicate that the nested logit model is likely to be superior to the more general Berry–Levinsohn–Pakes model for applications using aggregate-level data.  2000 Elsevier Science S.A. All rights reserved.

health and safety are important factors in today’s life. most of studies show that consuming the chicken that has anti biotic caused different diseases like digestive vessel cancer. attention to controlled use of antibiotics can play a key role in society health which considered in the production of green chicken. planning for increasing the production of mentioned chicken needs the investigati...

This chapter examines different models commonly used to model probabilistic choice, such as eg the choice of one type of transportation from among many choices available to the consumer. Section 1 discusses derivation and limitations of conditional logit models. Section 2 discusses probit models and Section 3 discusses the nested logit (generalized extreme value models), which address some of t...

This paper uses individual loan data for a national lender to estimate loan price elasticities across loan products and racial groups. The data contain detail on closing dates and prices, enabling control for market volatility and construction of pseudo-prices for foregone products. The empirical model is a mixed multinomial and conditional logit which is rooted in a structural utility framewor...