نتایج جستجو برای: keywords garch model
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In this paper, we develop and evaluate speech enhancement algorithms, which are based on supergaussian generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models in the short-time Fourier transform (STFT) domain. We consider three different statistical models, two fidelity criteria, and two approaches for the estimation of the variances of the STFT coefficients. The statistical mo...
In this paper we combine the appealing properties of the stable Paretian distribution to model the heavy tails and the GARCH model to capture the phenomenon of the volatility clustering. We assume the asset-returns to have a particular multivariate stable distribution, i.e., to be sub-Gaussian random vectors. In this way the characteristic function has a tractable expression and the density fun...
a one dimensional dynamic model for a riser reactor in a fluidized bed catalytic cracking unit (fccu) for gasoil feed has been developed in two distinct conditions, one for industrial fccu and another for fccu using various frequencies of microwave energy spaced at the height of the riser reactor (fccu-mw). in addition, in order to increase the accuracy of component and bulk diffusion, instanta...
Abstract. One of the major problems in using wind energy is that wind-generated electricity is more unstable than electricity generated by other sources, and therefore integrating wind energy use with traditional power generation systems can be a challenge. This problem can be effectively reduced by having accurate information about the mean and wind speed volatilities. Therefore, in this paper...
We report on a novel forecasting method based on nonlinear Markov modelling and canonical variate analysis, and investigate the use of a prediction algorithm to forecast conditional volatility. In particular, we assess the dynamic behaviour of the model by forecasting exchange rate volatility. It is found that the nonlinear Markov model can forecast exchange rate volatility significantly better...
In recent years, many private corporations and government organizations have digitized corpuses of legacy paper documents. Often, these organizations hope to take advantage of digital representations to transform costly manual tasks associated with paper archives into less-costly computer-assisted tasks. The most common approach toward automated information extraction is through inverted indexi...
Discrete-time stochastic volatility (SV) models have generated a considerable literature in financial econometrics. However, carrying out inference for these models is a difficult task and often relies on carefully customized Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques. Our contribution here is twofold. First, we propose a new SV model, namely SV–GARCH, which bridges the gap between SV and GARCH models...
We propose a new method for multivariate forecasting which combines the Generalized Dynamic Factor Model (GDFM) and the multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditionally Heteroskedastic (GARCH) model. We assume that the dynamic common factors are conditionally heteroskedastic. The GDFM, applied to a large number of series, captures the multivariate information and disentangles the common an...
We present the analysis aimed at the estimation of flood risks of Tisza River in Hungary on the basis of daily river discharge data registered in the last 100 years. The deseasonalised series has skewed and leptokurtic distribution and various methods suggest that it possesses substantial long memory. This motivates the attempt to fit a fractional ARIMA model with non-Gaussian innovations as a ...
In this paper, we introduce supergaussian generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models for speech signals in the short-time Fourier transform (STFT) domain. We address the problem of speech enhancement, and show that estimating the variances of the STFT expansion coefficients based on GARCH models yields higher speech quality than by using the decision-directed metho...
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