in this paper, we propose a new residual analysis method using fourier series transform into fuzzy time series model for improving the forecasting performance. this hybrid model takes advantage of the high predictable power of fuzzy time series model and fourier series transform to fit the estimated residuals into frequency spectra, select the low-frequency terms, filter out high-frequency term...

background: this study attempted to investigate traffic accident fatalities during 2004-2009 and the effect of fuel rationing on traffic accident fatalities .   materials and methods: this was a cross-sectional study on available data of all traffic accident fatalities in fars province, iran, during 2004-2009. to identify and fit the best model, various instruments, including the autocorrelatio...

multiple sclerosis (ms) is one of the autoimmune diseases with an unknown cause. the aim of this study was to explore the link between air quality and ms relapses in patients who suffer from ms.this time-series study was conducted on patients registered at the iranian multiple sclerosis society in 2011-2012. they were randomly selected from patients lived in tehran in the last five years, and h...

background and objective: scorpion sting and snakebite are the important problems in some area such as iran that must be addressed. this study was to investigate temporal pattern of scorpion sting and snakebite incidence in patients referred to masjedsoleiman’s main hospital, during 24 months from 21 march 2008 to 20 march 2009. materials and methods: it was an analytical study to scrutiny of m...

As with most computer science problems, representation of the data is the key to ecient and eective solutions. Piecewise linear representation has been used for the representation of the data. This representation has been used by various researchers to support clustering, classication, indexing and association rule mining of time series data. A variety of algorithms have been proposed to obtain...

fuzzy time series have been developed during the last decade to improve the forecast accuracy. many algorithms have been applied in this approach of forecasting such as high order time invariant fuzzy time series. in this paper, we present a hybrid algorithm to deal with the forecasting problem based on time variant fuzzy time series and particle swarm optimization algorithm, as a highly effici...

water quality is a worldwide problem which affects human beings lives fundamentally. water scarcity is intensified in result of quality deterioration. different factors such as population increase, economic development and water pollution could be considered as the origins of the problem. the study and forecasting of water quality is necessary to prevent serious water quality deteriorations in ...

this paper presents the prediction of vehicle's velocity time series using neural networks. for this purpose, driving data is firstly collected in real world traffic conditions in the city of tehran using advance vehicle location devices installed on private cars. a multi-layer perceptron network is then designed for driving time series forecasting. in addition, the results of this study a...