Emerging Trend Prediction in Biomedical Literature

We present a study on how to predict new emerging trends in the biomedical domain based on textual data. We thereby propose a way of anticipating the transformation of arbitrary information into ground thruth knowledge by predicting the inclusion of new terms into the MeSH ontology. We also discuss the preparation of a dataset for the evaluation of emerging trend prediction algorithms that is based on PubMed abstracts and related MeSH terms. The results suggest that early prediction of emerging trends is possible.