GARCH model has gained popularity during the last two decades, because of their ability to capture non-linear dynamics in the real life data which we often observe especially in financial markets. This paper discuss four common information criteria (AIC, AICc, BIC and HQ) and their ability of correct selection in the presence of GARCH effect, based on their probability of correct selection as a...

This paper applies six recently developed nonparametric tests of serial independence to monthly US stock returns. Findings of previous studies based on the BDS test are supported since most of the new tests also reject the random walk hypothesis. Furthermore, power properties of the new tests are compared with those of the BDS test. The latter has much power against ARCH and GARCH alternatives ...

In Duan, Gauthier and Simonato (1999), an analytical approximate formula for European options in the GARCH framework was developed. The formula is however restricted to the nonlinear asymmetric GARCH model. This paper extends the same approach to two other important GARCH specifications GJR-GARCH and EGARCH. We provide the corresponding formulas and study their numerical performance. keywords: ...

To date in literature, GARCH model has been described not suitable for non-linear foreign exchange series and therefore this paper proposes an Augmented GARCH model that could capture both linear and non-linear behavior of data. The properties of this new model is derived and found to have a minimum variance compared with GARCH model. We employ the use of Brock-DechertScheinkman (BDS) test stat...

In this paper, we take the advantage of high frequency data to develop option pricing model and select the Realized GARCH model to describe the volatility of assets, use NIG distribution to describe the distribution of underlying assets, and also build the Realized-GARCH-NIG model to price the option. Finally, we obtain the dynamic option pricing model based on the Realized-GARCH-NIG approach. ...

This paper presents an effective way of combining two popular, yet distinct approaches used in the hedging literature – dynamic programming (DP) and time-series (GARCH) econometrics. Theoretically consistent yet realistic and tractable models are developed for traders interested in hedging a portfolio. Results from a bootstrapping experiment used to construct confidence bands around the competi...

By extending the GARCH option pricing model of Duan (1995) to more exible volatility estimation it is shown that the prices of out-of-the-money options strongly depend on volatility features such as asymmetry. Results are provided for the properties of the stationary pricing distribution in the case of a threshold GARCH model. For a stock index series with a pronounced leverage eeect, simulated...

We perform Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations for a Bayesian inference of the GJR-GARCH model which is one of asymmetric GARCH models. The adaptive construction scheme is used for the construction of the proposal density in the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm and the parameters of the proposal density are determined adaptively by using the data sampled by the Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation...