This paper investigates the conditional correlations and volatility spillovers between the dollar exchange rate return, gold coin return and crude oil return to stock index return. Monthly returns in the 144 observations (2005 - 2017) are analyzed by constant conditional correlation, dynamic conditional correlation, VARMA-GARCH and VARMA-AGARCH models. So this paper presents interdependences in...

the stochastic outcomes and phenomenon of climate are the reason to use probability sciences in climatology. interactions of most of climatic phenomenon as well as justify them are very acceptable based on probability technique. accordingly it is useful in environmental management and planning. a conditional probability is the probability of an event given that another event has occurred e.g. l...

this paper employs a multivariate dynamic conditional correlation garch model, which is developed by engle (2001, 2002), to detect the timing and nature of changes in the comovement between iranian output and prices for the periods after iran–iraq war , known as imposed war . the results showed that there is a weak correlation between output and prices after imposed war and  varies periodically...

avicenna has divided the conditionals to the real cogent (i.e. with possible antecedent) and the verbal cogent (i.e. with the impossible antecedent). denying the truth of the latter, he caused controversies among moslem logicians. at the paper, we report the controversies, analyze the real and verbal cogent conditionals, formalize them in modern modal and relevant logics, and finally, defend id...

the purpose of the present study was to determine whether noticing through input enhancement had any impact on the acquisition of english conditional sentences in iranian efl learners. two intact classes with 26 female students in each were chosen. a proficiency test administered at the commencement of the study showed that the two groups were homogeneous in terms of their language proficiency....

in this paper, we show that the chapman-kolmogorov formula could be used as a recursive formula for computing the m-step-ahead conditional density of a markov bilinear model. the stationary marginal probability density function of the model may be approximated by the m-step-ahead conditional density for sufficiently large m.

The impact of integrated reproductive health and HIV services on HIV testing and counseling (HTC) uptake was assessed among 882 Kenyan family planning clients using a nonrandomized cohort design within six intervention and six "comparison" facilities. The effect of integration on HTC goals (two tests over two years) was assessed using conditional logistic regression to test four "integration" e...

The use of digital games in educational settings starts to be accepted and nowadays the discussion is shifting to other issues. An active topic is how to achieve an effective integration of games in education in general and in Virtual Learning Environments (VLE) in particular, taking full advantage of characteristics such as adaptation or in-game assessment. Interoperability requires that the i...