نتایج جستجو برای: copula based models
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در این تحقیق برای تعیین بی هنجاریهای قبل از وقوع زمین لرزه از شبیه سازی کاتولوگ های زلزله مشابه با استفاده از تابع کاپولا و معیاری مبتنی بر روش مونت کارلو برای مطالعه و شناسایی خوشه های پر خطر زلزله های آینده استفاده شده است. به دلیل غیر یکنواختی کاتالوگ ها ی لرزه خیز ی موجود، با تولید کاتالوگ مصنوعی و روشهای مبتنی براستدلال تقر یبی برا ی پیگیر ی رفتار فرآ یندها ی پیچیده استفاده شده است. شبیه س...
This paper investigates the dependence of the exchange rate of Onshore RMB and Offshore RMB against U.S. dollar, i.e. CNY and CNH, based on copula models. We select ten different copulas to construct multivariate distribution for RMB exchange rate. The empirical results show that time-invariant Student-t copula is the best model to fit the sample data. The positive of upper and lower dependence...
This paper proposes a general framework to compare the strength of the dependence in survival models, as time changes, i. e. given remaining lifetimes X , to compare the dependence of X given X > t, and X given X > s, where s > t. More precisely, analytical results will be obtained in the case the survival copula of X is either Archimedean or a distorted copula. The case of a frailty based mode...
Multivariate GARCH (MGARCH) models are usually estimated under multivariate normality. In this paper, for non-elliptically distributed financial returns, we propose copula-based multivariate GARCH (C-MGARCH) model with uncorrelated dependent errors, which are generated through a linear combination of dependent random variables. The dependence structure is controlled by a copula function. Our ne...
The demand for an accurate financial risk management involving larger numbers of assets is strong not only in view of the financial crisis of 2007-2009. Especially dependencies among assets have not been captured adequately. While standard multivariate copulas have added some flexibility, this flexibility is insufficient in higher dimensional applications. Vine copulas can fill this gap by bene...
Copula modelling has in the past decade become a standard tool in many areas of applied statistics. However, a largely neglected aspect concerns the design of related experiments. Particularly the issue of whether the estimation of copula parameters can be enhanced by optimizing experimental conditions and how robust all the parameter estimates for the model are with respect to the type of copu...
We discuss a class of copula-based ordered probit models with endogenous switching. Such models can be useful for the analysis of self-selection in subjective well-being equations in general, and job satisfaction in particular, where assignment of regressors may be endogenous rather than random, resulting from individual maximization of well-being. In an application to public and private sector...
This paper presents new models for the dependence structure, or copula, of economic variables, and asymptotic results for new simulation-based estimators of these models. The proposed models are based on a factor structure for the copula and are particularly attractive for high dimensional applications, involving fty or more variables. Estimation of this class of models is complicated by the l...
Bayesian nonparametric models based on infinite mixtures of density kernels have been recently gaining in popularity due to their flexibility and feasibility of implementation even in complicated modeling scenarios. However, these models have been rarely applied in more than one dimension. Indeed, implementation in the multivariate case is inherently difficult due to the rapidly increasing numb...
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