This study examines the psychological consequences of the introduction of the Euro. People who are not used to the new currency experience higher levels of uncertainty when processing Euro prices and may consequently be more susceptible to biasing influences. We demonstrate that in Winter 2001 – immediately before the introduction of the Euro – German participants were indeed more strongly infl...

We study the properties of foreign exchange risk premia that can explain the forward bias puzzle – the tendency of high-interest rate currencies to appreciate rather than depreciate. These risk premia arise endogenously from the no-arbitrage condition we impose on the relation between the term structure of interest rates and exchange rates, and they compensate for both currency risk and interes...

Economic theory suggests that the magnitude and direction of a company’s currency risk exposure depends crucially on its fundamental involvement in international trade. For US industries, we find that the stock performance of an import-oriented company moves positively with the performance of the dollar, but the stock performance of an export-oriented company tends to move against the dollar. B...

This paper is a pioneering attempt to include India with east and Southeast Asia to study the existence of the economic criteria for a common currency. The analysis in this paper shows that significant complementarities in trade exist among these countries, most of them experience similar shocks and labor mobility is already present. These results point to the fact that the cost of adopting a s...

I show that the US dollar earns a safety premium versus a basket of foreign currencies and that this premium is particularly high in times of global financial stress. These findings support the view that the dollar acts as the reserve currency for the international monetary system and that it is a natural safe haven in times of crisis, when a global flight to quality toward the reserve currency...

This paperproposes a new intelligent system for paper currency recognition. Pakistani paper currency has been considered, as a case study, for intelligent recognition. This paper identifies, introduces, and extracts robustfeatures fromPakistani banknotes. After extracting thesefeatures, the paper proposes to use three layers feed-forward Backpropagation Neural Network (BPN) for classification. ...

specialist microfinance institutions (MFIs). The Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) has traditionally pursued an active "developmental" role in the microfinance sector, although this has been changing. It should further reduce its developmental activities by diluting its ownership of regional development banks and taking a less hands-on role in project implementation. Conversely, it would be appr...

The paper develops an alternative hypothesis that attributes collateral responsibility for therecent spate of financial crises to a basic flaw of the architecture of the international financialsystem, free markets for foreign exchange. A valid positional distinction between reserve/ hardand soft currencies, based on reputation, accounts for the systematic substitution of the former<...

The behavior of exchange rate in various exchange markets is not seemingly predictable, while there are different forecasting methods to do so. One of these methods is to use fractals to identify exchange rate behavior. This paper has made attempts to explore the properties of fractals in Iran’s exchange market in order to it can predict and analyze the trend of exchange rate. Accordingly, th...

Gravity-based cross-sectional evidence indicates that currency unions stimulate trade as much or more than do free trade areas. Thus currencies are a source of the home-country bias in trade. This paper extends such findings to estimate the ultimate benefits of currency unions, via trade, in terms of income per capita. We use a large data set of economic and geographic variables for over 200 co...