A class of preferential orderings in non-monotonic logics assumes that various extensions of a model (possible worlds) can be ordered based on both their likelihood and desirability. I suggest that there is a basic incompatibility between this qualitative notion of preference and the decision-theoretic notion of utility. I demonstrate that while reasoning and decision making in the former can f...

Based on a large-scale, unique longitudinal dataset comprising more than 4m transactions, I first investigate drivers of customers’ point of sale choice (online vs. counter PoS). Second, I study which PoS yields higher purchase decision quality. I establish whether linkages hold across different customer segments and pricing contexts, and examine consumers’ learning effects over time. Third, I ...

Cognitive work analysis and cognitive task analysis approach the analysis of decisions in ways that are at least superficially dissimilar. In this paper, I review the two approaches, work (or control) task analysis and naturalistic decision making, to identify similarities and differences, and I assess the implications of looking at decisions from these two different perspectives. I conclude th...

Input–output analysts are often confronted with requests for impacts assessments for economic shocks that stretch uncomfortably the assumptions of standard input–output modeling. This paper presents an approach to confronting a subset of these challenges straightforwardly in a way that ameliorates some of the more restrictive input– output assumptions, maintains the inter–industry detail of the...

(Ackerman et al., 2009) go on to argue that speakers rely on knowledge of the IMPLICATIVE STRUCTURE of paradigms (Wurzel, 1984): paradigms are structured in such a way that there are reliable correlations between the form filling one paradigm cell A and the form filling another cell B. The reliability of these correlations depends on the particular pair of cells A and B under scrutiny; it can b...

Diverting large quantities of goods from authorized distribution channels to unauthorized or “gray market” channels, albeit legal, significantly affects both firms and consumers due to effects on price, revenue, service and warranty availability, and product availability. In this paper we consider mechanisms by which the uncertainty surrounding inventory ordering decisions drives gray markets. ...

In this paper I analyse the effect of transparency of the decision making process in committees on the decisions that are eventually taken. I focus on committees whose members are motivated by career concerns, so that each member tries to enhance his own reputation. When the decision making process is secretive, the individual votes of the committee members are not exposed to the public but onl...

It is difficult to motivate advisors to acquire information through standard performancecontracts when for instance outcomes are uncertain and/or only observed in the distant future. Decision-makers may however exploit advisors’ desire to influence the outcome. To investigate this, I build a model in which a decision-maker and an advisor both intrinsically care about the decision’s consequences...

decisions relating to most irrigation-planning problems need to be made in the face of hydrologic uncertainties, which make the irrigation-planning problem more complex. the uncertainties can be tackled by formulating the problem as fuzzy linear programming (flp). in the present study, single objective fuzzy linear programming (soflp) irrigation planning model was formulated for deriving the op...

Evidence points to the existence of a home advantage effect in soccer with referees giving more decisions to the home team being a plausible explanation for this effect. The purpose of the present study was to use qualitative methods to explore the factors that influence experienced referees when making decisions. Five experienced referees volunteered to participate in semi-structured interview...