the purpose of this study is to investigate the role of oil, natural gas and coal consumption in iran’s economic growth during the periods from 1980 to 2012. the stationary analysis is performed by using adf and phillips-perron unit root test and auto-regressive distributed lag (ardl) approach was used to test for co-integration between the variables. the findings show that the variables are co...

Growing interest in using personality variables in economic research leads to the question whether personality as measured by psychology is useful to predict economic behavior. Is it reasonable to expect values on personality scales to be predictive of behavior in economic games? It is undoubted that personality can influence large-scale economic outcomes. Whether personality variables can also...

Economic modeling that yields practical value must cater for effects caused by exogenous variables. AutoRegressive eXogenous approach (ARX) has been widely used in regional economic studies. Instrumental Variable Method is regarded as a preferential method to parametric estimation in ARX modeling. However, traditional instrumental variable methods can only handle single variable which has limit...

A goal of economic research is to determine the causal relationship among economic variables. This paper introduces the Hausman speci cation test of endogeneity, for testing the independence between the stochastic regressor and the disturbances. We describe alternative approaches to estimating simultaneous-equation systems and we present an empirical example of economic growth and health that n...

We formulate thermodynamics of economic systems in terms of an arbitrary probability distribution for a conserved economic quantity. As in statistical physics, thermodynamic macroeconomic variables emerge as the mean value of microeconomic variables and their determination is reduced to the computation of the partition function, starting from an arbitrary function. Explicit hypothetical example...

This paper is intended to be pedagogical rather than a presentation of original research. We describe a simple dynamic, stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with capital utilization, capital adjustment costs, and a simple Cobb-Douglas technology to illustrate how DSGE models can be used to explain the past and to forecast the future. We identify one method to directly estimate latent var...

This paper examines the effect of trust on economic development. The key difficulty in estimating a causal effect of trust on economic development, is that it is endogenous to economic development. Therefore, to identify a causal effect from a cultural variable such as trust to economic development, we have to find some exogenous source of variation in trust. This paper estimates the effect of ...