the aim of this paper is to investigate the existence of the new non-ricardian regime policy in iranian economy. we detected signs of the non-ricardian regime from quarterly data of 1369 to 1391. to investigate further a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model is designed to estimate the fiscal and monetary parameters using a bayesian approach. our results indicated a passive monetary poli...

this paper estimates the determinants of inflation in iran using a linear and non- linear regression model over the period 1959-2008. in the model specification, the conventional variables (liquidity, production and exchange rate) as well as positive and negative oil revenue shocks, monetary disequilibrium, and demand gap are considered. the results show that nonlinear time series regression mo...

economic stabilization is one of the main government objectives in the economy. one of the most destructive and devastating factors that could damage financial markets, are price bubble formations. thus, bubble creation in stock markets can be considered as a result of investor behaviors, because the market prices mainly reflect investor expectations from firm’s future perspectives. the aim of ...

high inflation has been as one of the characteristics of developing countries including iran and its economic and social impacts are extensive. compiling policies for economic development requires that inflation impacts on different social classes should be studied carefully. microeconomic analyses show that because of higher increase in price of goods that have higher share in consumption bund...

The Journal of Economic Literature codes classification system (JEL) published by the American Association (AEA) is de facto standard for research literature in economics. JEL used to classify articles, dissertations, books, book reviews, and working papers EconLit, a database maintained AEA. Over time, it has evolved extended with over 850 subclasses. This paper reviews history development sys...

We estimate a behavioral New Keynesian (NK) model in which households and firms plan over finite horizon. The finite-horizon planning (FHP) outperforms rational expectations versions of the NK as well other models. In FHP model, are forward-looking thinking about events their horizon but backward-looking regarding beyond that point. This gives rise to substantial aggregate persistence without r...

On one monthly time-series data set of Vietnam economy over 02/2008–09/2018, the Time-Varying-Coefficient VAR model records that trade-off between inflation and output growth is mitigated by foreign capital inflows. The mostly determined credit supply growth, while largely driven direct investment (FDI) A increase FDI USD 1 billion can raise 1.77% rate. result also holds on accounting for excha...

We develop an equivalence between the equilibrium effects of incomplete information and those two behavioral distortions: myopia, or extra discounting future; anchoring current behavior to past behavior, as in models with habit persistence adjustment costs. show how these distortions depend on higher-order beliefs GE mechanisms, they can be disciplined by evidence expectations. finally illustra...

This paper analyzes the effects of lower bound for interest rates on distributions inflation and rates. In a New Keynesian model with bound, two equilibria emerge: policy is mostly unconstrained in “target equilibrium,” whereas constrained “liquidity trap equilibrium.” Using options data inflation, we find forecast densities consistent target equilibrium no evidence favor liquidity equilibrium....

This paper studies how changes in oil supply expectations affect the price and macroeconomy. Using a novel identification design, exploiting institutional features of OPEC high-frequency data, I identify an news shock. These shocks have statistically economically significant effects. Negative leads to immediate increase prices, gradual fall production, inventories. has consequences for US econo...