In glacier-fed systems climate change may have various effects over a range of time scales, including increasing river discharge, flood frequency and magnitude. This study uses a combination of empirical monitoring and modelling to project the impacts of climate change on the glacial-fed Middle Fork Toklat River, Denali National Park, Alaska. We use a regional calibration of the model HBV to ac...

[1] In this study continuous simulation flood frequency predictions on the Skalka catchment in the Czech Republic (672 km, range of altitudes from 460 to 1041 m above sea level), are compared against summary information of rainfall characteristics, the flow duration curve, and the frequency characteristics of flood discharges and snow water equivalent using the generalized likelihood uncertaint...

1. INTRODUCTION Across much of the United States, and in many parts of the world, winter precipitation can come in many forms. It can range from all-liquid rain, to partially frozen particles, and completely frozen particles such as ice pellets or snow. The results of winter precipitation, then, are highly dependent on what type of precipitation falls. If rain falls into subfreezing environment...

[1] It is widely acknowledged that climate variability modifies the frequency spectrum of extreme hydrologic events. Traditional hydrological frequency analysis methods do not account for year to year shifts in flood risk distributions that arise due to changes in exogenous factors that affect the causal structure of flood risk. We use Hierarchical Bayesian Analysis to evaluate several factors ...

Meltwater is produced on the surface of glaciers and ice sheets when the seasonal surface energy forcing warms the snow to its melting temperature. This meltwater can run off the surface in streams or percolate through the porous snow and refreeze, which warms the subsurface through the release of latent heat. We model the percolation process from first principles using a continuum model that i...

Hydronic heating systems that circulate a heated fluid through pipes embedded in a bridge deck or roadway may be used to eliminate or reduce dangerous driving conditions caused by snow and ice. The first important task in sizing such a system is determining the required heat flux. Current guidance in the ASHRAE HVAC Applications Handbook for required surface heat fluxes is based on a one-dimens...

Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) weather forecasting has improved in recent years, thanks partly to better representation of physical variables in models. For instance, realistic initializations of snow and soil moisture in models yield enhanced predictability on S2S time scales. Snow depth and soil moisture also mediate month-to-month persistence of near-surface air temperature. Here the role of ...