نتایج جستجو برای: forecast errors of gpd growth
تعداد نتایج: 21246712 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
757 Comments 'The response of consumption to income: A crosscountry investigation' The central facts driving this paper are that consumption growth is slightly forecastable, and the variables that forecast consumption growth also forecast income growth. The paper reviews a very clever interpretation of these facts in terms of 'rule of thumb' consumers that devote a fixed fraction of income to n...
We examine the relation between analysts’ earnings forecasts and firms’ intangible assets, including technology-based intangibles, brand names, and recognized intangibles. We predict that high information complexity of intangible assets increases the difficulty for analysts to assimilate information and increases analysts’ forecast error of intangibles-intensive firms. We find a positive associ...
The generalised Pareto distribution (GPD) offers a family of probability spaces which support threshold exceedances and is thus suitable for modelling high-end actuarial risks. Nonetheless, its distributional continuity presents critical limitation in characterising data discrete forms. Discretising the GPD, therefore, yields derived accommodates count while maintaining essential tail propertie...
Phosphodiesterase 4 (PDE4) is an intracellular enzyme specifically degrading cAMP, a second messenger exerting inhibitory effects on many inflammatory cells. To investigate whether GPD-1116 (a PDE4 inhibitor) prevents murine lungs from developing cigarette smoke-induced emphysema, the senescence-accelerated mouse (SAM) P1 strain was exposed to either fresh air or cigarette smoke for 8 wk with o...
Recent research shows that forecasting ability is an organizational distinctive competence. We propose and test a model accounting for interfirm differences in forecasting ability. After controlling for reciprocal effects, we find that two principal firm-level factors (i.e., organizational illusion of control and organizational attention) influence both bias and magnitude of errors in estimates...
We investigate the econometric properties of the Federal Reserve Greenbook forecasts with an integrated real-time database of U.S. macroeconomic data that more precisely characterizes the information sets available to Fed policy makers in advance of the Open Market Committee meetings. Our data set associates historical vintages of NIPA and labor market data with the exact dates of the Greenbook...
the extent to which written corrective feedback on linguistic errors can play a role in helping l2 writers improve the accuracy of their writing continues to be an issue of interest to researchers and teachers since truscott (1996) mounted a case for its abolition. while there is growing empirical evidence that written corrective feedback can successfully target some types of linguistic error (...
Background and aims Today in many jobs like nuclear, military and chemical industries, human errors may result in a disaster. Accident in different places of the world emphasizes this subject and we indicate for example, Chernobyl disaster in (1986), tree Mile accident in (1974) and Flixborough explosion in (1974).So human errors identification especially in important and intricate systems is...
The recently established NOAA Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project (HFIP) has set a 5-year goal to reduce track and intensity forecast errors by 20%, and a 10-year goal for a 50% reduction. The 10-year goal corresponds to an average error reduction of 5% per year. Figure 1 shows the annual average 48 h Atlantic track and intensity errors of the National Hurricane Center (NHC) official forecas...
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