This paper proposes a convenience yield-based pricing for commodity futures, which embeds incompleteness of commodity futures markets in convenience yields. By using the pricing method, we conduct empirical analyses of the prices of WTI crude oil, heating oil, and natural gas futures traded on the NYMEX in order to assess the incompleteness of energy futures markets. We show that the fluctuatio...

Managing price risk with futures contracts creates liquidity risk through marking to market. Liquidity risk matters in an imperfect capital market where interim losses on a futures position have to be financed at a borrowing rate that is higher than the risk-free rate. However, the impact of liquidity risk can be mitigated using options on futures. This paper analyzes the optimal risk managemen...

The futures field demonstrates a willing openness in embracing methodologies, approaches, and influences from a diversity of disciplines and perspectives. This plurality of practice is evidenced in a growing body of work that increasingly embodies futures thinking in the design of everyday material and networked experiences. The intersection of design and futures produces artifacts, application...

A futures contract is an agreement between a seller and a buyer that calls for the seller to deliver to the buyer a specified quantity and grade of an identified commodity, at a fixed time in the future, and at a price agreed in the contract. Stock index futures contract specify an equity index as the underlying asset. Arbitrage opportunity exists when the actual futures price deviates from the...

This study examines the impact of migration to electronic trading on the relative informational efficiency between an index futures contract and the underlying cash index. The recent move to electronic trading of the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index futures contract provides an opportunity to study how the change affects the effective bid and ask spread in the futures market and the dynamic relationsh...

This paper examines the forward pricing efficiency of the local crude palm oil (CPO) futures market. In an efficient market, the relevant signal to be used by -the producers, traders and processors is simply the futures price. The forward pricing efficiency is measured in terms of the forecasting ability of Malaysian crude palm oil futures price on physical price. The relative predictive power ...

Based on the classical regression model, timevarying coefficient model, unit root, co-integration, Granger causality test, VAR, impulse response and variance decomposition, the dynamic relationship between prices of natural rubber futures in China and Japan has been researched systematically. The following conclusions are gotten through empirical researches: Firstly, there is a stable co-integr...

The demand for hedging against price uncertainty in the presence of crop yield and revenue insurance contracts is examined for French wheat farms. The rationale for the use of options in addition to futures is first highlighted through the characterization of the first-best hedging strategy in the expected utility framework. It is then illustrated using numerical simulations. The presence of op...