During several decades, Colombia was considered a very special case among Latin American countries due to its outstanding economic stability. Despite deep political problems and a long tradition of violence, economic growth was sustained. Colombia experienced moderate economic cycles and a steady GDP growth (Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo, 1995). Between 1931 and 1998, the rate of growth of...

In this research, non-linear inflationary dynamics based on the concept of missing money is studied using the threshold autoregressive models based on seasonal data of the time interval (1990:04-2016:07) for the economy of Iran. The finding of the research shows that simple and Divisia liquidity growth variables are determined as threshold variables, and inflation reacts to changes in the growt...

The recent “benign” combination of strong output growth and low inflation has led to speculation that the potential growth rate of real GDP has increased. This paper exam ines trends in labor supply to see whether this source of GDP growth might have accelerated. Discussions of labor supply often focus on labor force p a rt i c i p ation. But other considerat i o ns—s u ch as the length of the ...

Within a unified framework, the author conducts an empirical investigation of dynamic interrelationships among inflation, inflation uncertainty, relative price dispersion, and output growth. Focusing on the Canadian industrial sector, the author finds weak evidence that inflation uncertainty rises with the level of inflation, with short-run inflation uncertainty minimized at a trend inflation r...

unemployment-inflation trade-off is known as philips curve. this relationship was first defined for england economy by professor philips since 1958. much development has been submitted by different economic schools about this innovation. in this paper, apart from dealing with the new-keynesians philips curve, the curve mentioned is estimated for iranian economy. in addition, we are going to com...

This paper explores the transmission of credit conditions into the real economy. Specifically, I examine the forecasting power of the term structure of credit spreads for future GDP growth. I find that the whole term structure of credit spreads has predictive power, even though the term structure of Treasury yields has none. Using a parsimonious macro-finance term structure model that captures ...

The Size of the Shadow Economies of 145 Countries all over the World: First Results over the Period 1999 to 2003 Using the DYMIMIC approach, estimates of the shadow economy in 145 developing, transition, developed OECD countries, South Pacific islands and still communist countries are presented. The average size of the shadow economy (in percent of official GDP) over 2002/2003 in developing cou...

to day reaching a high economic growth rate is one of the main and important aim of any economic system. today the economists accept that economic stability is a necessary issue, but is not enough for the economic growth, while economic instability is one of the main elements, which restrict economic growth. the aim of this research is analysis of the effect of stability index of economy on eco...

this research follows two aims in case of the iranian economy. first, study of the presence of inflation persistency, and second, looking for an optimal monetary policy rule. results show that inflation in the economy of iran is persistent, in which, short-term and long-term effects of monetary policy should be considered. for this purpose, a loss function for the central bank with arguments of...