Drought monitoring is a fundamental component of drought risk management. It is normally performed using various drought indices that are effectively continuous functions of rainfall and other hydrometeorological variables. In many instances, drought indices are used for monitoring purposes. Geostatistical methods allow the interpolation of spatially referenced data and the prediction of v...

Valuation and risk management of large portfolios of variable annuity policies are a big challenge to insurance companies because pricing a large portfolio of variable annuity policies is a time consuming task. Recently, a method based on clustering and kriging has been proposed to address the computational problem arising from this area. In this method, the value of the portfolio is estimated ...

Metamodelling offers an efficient way to imitate the behaviour of computationally expensive simulators. Kriging based metamodels are popular in approximating computation-intensive simulations of deterministic nature. Irrespective of the existence of various variants of Kriging in the literature, only a handful of Kriging implementations are publicly available and most, if not all, free librarie...

We develop a novel multi-fidelity framework that goes far beyond the classical AR(1) Co-kriging scheme of Kennedy and O’Hagan (2000). Our method can handle general discontinuous cross-correlations among systems with different levels of fidelity. A combination of multi-fidelity Gaussian Processes (AR(1) Co-kriging) and deep neural networks enables us to construct a method that is immune to disco...

Genomic data provide a valuable source of information for modeling covariance structures, allowing a more accurate prediction of total genetic values (GVs). We apply the kriging concept, originally developed in the geostatistical context for predictions in the low-dimensional space, to the high-dimensional space spanned by genomic single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) vectors and study its prope...

When analysing data from computationally expensive simulation codes or process measurements, surrogate modelling methods are firmly established as facilitators for design space exploration, sensitivity analysis, visualisation and optimisation. Kriging is a popular surrogate modelling technique for data based on deterministic computer experiments. There exist several types of Kriging, mostly dif...

This article reviews Kriging (also called spatial correlation modeling). It presents the basic Kriging assumptions and formulas—contrasting Kriging and classic linear regression metamodels. Furthermore, it extends Kriging to random simulation, and discusses bootstrapping to estimate the variance of the Kriging predictor. Besides classic one-shot statistical designs such as Latin Hypercube Sampl...

This paper is continuation work of a research started in 2005. In the previous research, variety of fuzzy digital elevation models was constructed and the best fit model was selected in order to present an alternative in modelling height information. The previous study revealed that fuzzy digital elevation model gave satisfied result compared with the result from TIN (Triangulated Irregular Net...