Purpose The impact of demand fluctuation during crisis events is crucial to the dynamic pricing and revenue management tactics hospitality industry. purpose this paper improve accuracy hotel forecast periods or volatility, taking 2019 social unrest in Hong Kong as an example. Design/methodology/approach Crisis severity, approximated by media data, combined with traditional time-series models, i...

Nepotism has been the primary influence on political behavior throughout human history. Despite the spread of democracy in the 20 century, nepotistic regimes have hardly disappeared. Nepotism heavily influences political activity throughout the developing world, Middle East, and central Asia where family ties are essentially for gaining access to power, state resources, and privileges. Rebellin...

Banditry and unrest in eighteenth and nineteenth century China have attracted substantial attention from several generations of researchers. Often, they apply particular ontologies a priori to the source base. Given their reliance on state documents, these studies are subject to the perspectives of record-keepers and their theories of violence. It is particularly difficult to apply fixed defini...

1 NEED FOR PRIVACY AND ANONYMITY IN ONLINE SOCIAL MEDIA SITES Online Social Media sites (OSMs) like Facebook and Twitter drastically changed the way users communicate with each other and share content. OSMs provide inexpensive communication medium that allows anyone to quickly reach millions of users. Consequently, in these platforms anyone can publish content and anyone interested in the conte...

We study elections in which one party (the strong party) controls a source of political unrest; e.g., this party could instigate riots if it lost the election. We show that the strong party is more likely to win the election when there is less information about its ability to cause unrest. This is because when the weak party is better informed, it can more reliably prevent political unrest by i...