In this paper we investigate the behavior of credit yield spreads in an equilibrium framework in which the risk-free interest rate and yields on risky debt are jointly and endogenously determined. The model is one of a partially observable pure exchange economy in which debt is a contingent claim on the cash flow. We find that an increase in risk aversion or an increase in uncertainty about gro...

This paper develops a dynamic, equilibrium model of a futures market to study optimal hedging and the term structure of open interest and futures prices. Investors continuously face spot price risk over time and attempt to hedge this risk using futures. Convenience yield shocks generate basis risk to rolling over near-to-maturity futures. Hence, investors need to simultaneously trade far-from-m...

This paper investigates the risk premia of U.S. corporate and Treasury bonds. Using excess return regressions, two risk factors are derived from yield and macroeconomic data: a priced term risk factor and a priced credit risk factor explain half of the variation in one-year corporate and Treasury excess returns. The information of the term risk factor is not represented by major yield character...

We investigate the nature of crop yield systemic risk and its implications for farmers' area insurance choices. A theory-grounded, normalized measure risk, R2, is developed made amenable to empirical analysis through logit link. The estimated on a large-scale, unit-level corn dataset. find that explains less than half total unit variability average, suggesting management effectiveness low. By r...