Accurate and reliable prediction of the groundwater level variation is significant and essential in water resources management of a basin. The situation is complicated by the fact that the variation of groundwater level is highly nonlinear in nature because of interdependencies and uncertainties in the hydro-geological process. Models such as Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and Support Vector ...

This paper presents a multi-model predictor called Qualitative Multi-Model Predictor Plus (QMMP+) for demand forecast in water distribution networks. QMMP+ is based on the decomposition of the quantitative and qualitative information of the time-series. The quantitative component (i.e., the daily consumption prediction) is forecasted and the pattern mode estimated using a Nearest Neighbor (NN) ...

A time series forecasting is an active research applied significantly in a variety of economics areas. Over the past three decades an auto-regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, as one of the most important time series models, has been applied in financial markets forecasting. Recent researches in time series forecasting ARIMA models indicate some basic limitations which detract fr...

Auto-regressive (AR) time series (TS) models are useful for structural damage detection in vibration-based health monitoring (SHM). However, certain limitations, e.g., non-stationarity and subjective feature selection, have reduced its wide-spread use. With increasing trends machine learning (ML) technologies, automated recognition is becoming popular attracting many researchers. In this paper,...

The paper considers the development of a new type of artificial neural network and its applicability to non-linear system identification. This is the functional-link neural network with internal dynamic elements. The net consists of a single layer where the nonlinearity is firstly introduced by enhancing the input pattern with a functional expansion. The internal dynamic elements are auto-regre...

Forecasting accuracy drives the performance of inventory management. This study is to investigate and compare different forecasting methods like Moving Average (MA) and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) with Neural Networks (NN) models as Feed-forward NN and Nonlinear Autoregressive network with eXogenous inputs (NARX). Data used to forecast is acquired from inventory database of...

artificial neural networks (anns) are computer techniques that attempt to simulate the functionality and decision-making processes of the human brain. in the past few decades, artificial neural networks (anns) have been extensively used in a wide range of engineering applications. there are only a few applications in liquid membrane process. the objective of this research was to develop artific...

In the mining sector, the barrier to obtain an efficient safety management system is the unavailability of future information regarding the accidents. This paper aims to use the auto-regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, for the first time, to evaluate the underlying causes that affect the safety management system corresponding to the number of accidents and fatalities in the surf...

Artificial neural networks and fuzzy systems, have gradually established themselves as a popular tool in approximating complicated nonlinear systems and time series forecasting. This paper investigates the hypothesis that the nonlinear mathematical models of multilayer perceptron and radial basis function neural networks and the Takagi–Sugeno (TS) fuzzy system are able to provide a more accurat...

This paper presents an alternative approach to time series forecasting, through use of artificial neural networks (ANNs), a relatively new concept in hydrological research. Box and Jenkins ARMAX (autoregressive moving average with exogenous inputs) models have been widely used in modeling various time series with satisfactory results. This study shows that ANNs can produce comparable, to ARMAX,...