While solar flares are a frequent occurrence, extreme much rarer events and have the potential to cause disruption life on Earth. In this paper we use Extreme Value Theory model flares, with inference performed in Bayesian paradigm. The data used been provided by National Oceanic Atmospheric Organisation consist of recordings peak flux measurements. After proposing several methods for analysis ...

Bayesian statistics and Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms have found their place in the field of Cosmology. They become important mathematical numerical tools, especially parameter estimation model comparison. In this paper, we review some fundamental concepts to understand then introduce MCMC samplers that allow us perform inference procedure. We also a general description standard co...