نتایج جستجو برای: epidemic forecasting
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twenty patients, a family, their neighbors, and friends; with lesions suspicious of ringworm infection, were referred to us within a period of 80 days. the source of infection was found to be 3 persian cats (a mother and two kittens) living with the family. the cats had multiple lesions around their nose and on abdomen which reveales the prevalence of cutaneous fungi both on direct microscopic ...
Models not only represent but may also influence their targets in important ways. While models’ abilities to outcomes has been studied the context of economic models, often under label ‘performativity’, we argue that this phenomenon pertains epidemiological such as those used for forecasting trajectory Covid-19 pandemic. After identifying three ways which a model by Response Team at Imperial Co...
The religious pilgrimage of Hajj is one the largest annual gatherings in world. Every year approximately three million pilgrims travel from all over world to perform Mecca Saudi Arabia. high population density confined settings throughout rituals can facilitate infectious disease transmission among and their contacts. Infected may enter without being detected potentially transmit other pilgrims...
Face-to-face social contacts are potentially important transmission routes for acute respiratory infections, and understanding the contact network can improve our ability to predict, contain, and control epidemics. Although workplaces are important settings for infectious disease transmission, few studies have collected workplace contact data and estimated workplace contact networks. We use con...
The use of public transport means is characterized by periodically changing phases. For a unit performing task, it important to have tools that enable the analysis and forecasting state system facilitating decisions regarding control process being carried out. During mishap epidemic, many legal solutions were imposed forced changes in using transport. article below describes their impact on sit...
Research background: The study uses the key parameters of spread epidemic, dividing population into several groups S - susceptible, E exposed, I infectious, R recovered, D dead. It is found that model behaves differently depending on R₀ indicator average number people one infected manages to infect. Measures suppress epidemic undertaken by Azerbaijan and their effectiveness have been considered...
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