Automated public health records provide the necessary data for rapid outbreak detection. An adaptive exponentially weighted moving average EWMA plan is developed for signalling unusually high incidence when monitoring a time series of nonhomogeneous daily disease counts. A Poisson transitional regression model is used to fit background/expected trend in counts and provides “one-day-ahead” forec...

Recently, various types of technology funds became available to support the programs for technology development and commercialization of SMEs (Small and Medium Enterprise) in Korea. However, the potential financial performances have not been sufficiently considered at the selection stage of fund recipient SMEs whereas the default risk has been a major concern. This paper proposes a CBR (Case Ba...

The double EWMA (exponentially weighted moving average) control method is a popular algorithm for adjusting a process from run to run in semiconductor manufacturing. Until recently, the dEWMA controller had been applied only for the single controllable factor (or input), single quality charcteristic (or output) case. Recently, Del Castillo and Rajagopal [4] propose a multivariate double EWMA co...

We examine how to forecast after a recent break. We consider monitoring for change and then combining forecasts from models that do and do not use data before the change; and robust methods, namely rolling regressions, forecast averaging over different windows and exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) forecasting. We derive analytical results for the performance of the robust methods rel...

Abstract Some industrial data often come with uncertainty, which in some cases depends on the decision of those responsible for taking measurement production process. While fuzzy approach helps to tackle ambiguity that arises measurement, an interval type-2 set deals such uncertainty better due its flexibility over control limits chart. This paper aims develop Interval Type-2 Exponentially Weig...

In this work, both the cumulative sum (CUSUM) and exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts have been reconfigured to monitor processes using a Bayesian approach. Our construction of these are informed by posterior predictive distributions found three loss functions: squared error, precautionary, linex. We use on count data, performing simulation study assess chart performance...

Fog computing (FC) is a networking paradigm where wireless devices known as fog nodes are placed at the edge of network (close to Internet Things (IoT) devices). provide services in lieu cloud. Thus, improving performance and making it attractive social media-based systems. Security issues one most challenges encountered FC. In this paper, we propose an anomaly-based Intrusion Detection Prevent...

Precise identification of the time when a process has changed enables process engineers to search for a potential special cause more effectively. In this paper, we develop change point estimation methods for a Poisson process in a Bayesian framework. We apply Bayesian hierarchical models to formulate the change point where there exists a step < /div> change, a linear trend and a known multip...

The Poisson distribution assumption often arises in several industrial applications for modeling defects or nonconformities. In this work, we investigate the one- and two-sided performance of a new adaptive EWMA (exponentially weighted moving average)-type chart monitoring count data. An appropriate discrete-state Markov chain technique is provided to compute exact ARL (average run length) prop...

This paper investigates the detection of communication outbreaks among a small team of actors in time-varying networks. We propose monitoring plans for known and unknown teams based on generalizations of the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) statistic. For unknown teams, we propose an efficient neighborhood-based search to estimate a collection of candidate teams. This procedure dram...