In former experiments, we compared consecutive loudness judgments based on the time sequence of a long-term traffic noise with two synthesized versions of this noise, one realized with help of FTT-based procedure, the other with the conventional procedure using a pink noise multiplied with the temporal envelope of the original sound. We found that meaning had no significant influence on loudnes...

We review the applications of structured expert judgment uncertainty quantification using the "classical model" developed at the Delft University of Technology over the last 17 years (Cooke, 1991). These involve 45 expert panels, performed under contract with problem owners who reviewed and approved the results. With a few exceptions, all these applications involved the use of seed variables; t...

OBJECTIVE To investigate the agreement among clinical experts in their judgments of monitoring data with respect to artifacts, and to examine the effect of reference standards that consist of individual and joint expert judgments on the performance of artifact filters. DESIGN Individual judgments of four physicians, a majority vote judgment, and a consensus judgment were obtained for 30 time ...

Recently, there has been a surge of Transformer-based solutions for the long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) task. Despite growing performance over past few years, we question validity this line research in work. Specifically, Transformers is arguably most successful solution to extract semantic correlations among elements long sequence. However, modeling, are temporal relations an ordered ...

Expertise m what is it? Expertise is the ability of one human within an organization to outperform a similarly educated and informed peer group in discrete, repetitive tasks involving decision-making and risk assessment. Expertise is best measured by the degree to which an individual’s performance provides proprietary advantage to his organization. Bright people with exceptional ways of accompl...

The variousmechanisms that represent the know-howof decision-makers are exposed to a common weakness, namely, a lack of consistency. To overcome this weakness within AHP (analytic hierarchy process), we propose a framework that enables balancing consistency and expert judgment. We specifically focus on a linearization process for streamlining the trade-off between expert reliability and synthet...

We prove, with a few minor exceptions, that if P1 and P2 are probability distributions on the countable set S for which the fixed events E and F are independent, then, both for the standard Euclidean metric and for any metric inducing a topology coarser than the Euclidean topology, there exists a third probability distribution P3 on S that preserves this independence and is equidistant from P1 ...

Two distinct views of the nature of clinical judgment are identified and contrasted. The dominant view that clinical judgment is a fully explicit process is compared to the relatively neglected view that tacit knowledge plays a substantial role in the clinician's mental operations. The tacit dimension of medical thinking is explored at length. The discussion suggests severe limits when applying...