Recent increases in pathology costs per scheme member are a concern to medical schemes and pathologists alike. To better understand the observed increasing costs, the National Pathology Group commissioned Prognosys to analyse the trends affecting these increases. We found that these increases are driven by inflation, increases in utilisation, and redistribution of the burden of cost. The identi...

The fiscal theory says that the price level is determined by the ratio of nominal debt to the present value of real primary surpluses. I analyze long-term debt and optimal policy in the fiscal theory. I find that the maturity structure of the debt matters. For example, it determines whether news of future deficits implies current inflation or future inflation. When long-term debt is present, th...

Many global shocks, including the renegotiation of NAFTA, United States–China trade war, Brexit, and COVID-19 pandemic, may have recently influenced inflation spillover in G7 countries. The current literature overlooks influence these important events on This study fulfills this gap investigates nature short, medium, long term. Using monthly data from 1956:6 to 2020:12, finds that Japan States ...

In 1958, A.W. Phillips discovered a strong negative correlation between inflation and unemployment in United Kingdom data. Continuing controversy surrounds the long-run trade-off suggested by a curve he drew through these observations. We conduct a wide-ranging investigation of the post-war U.S. Phillips correlations and Phillips curve. Many economists view the Phillips correlations as chimeric...

The “conservative central banker” has come under attack recently. Explicitly modeling the interaction of a trade union with monetary policy, it has been argued that the standard solution to the inflationary bias in monetary policy might actually be welfare-reducing if the trade union has an exogenous preference against inflation. We reframe this discussion in a standard trade union model. We sh...

We inspect how inflation target announcements are instrumental in building central bank credibility and shaping the public’s inflation expectations. Investigating the role of announcements in two early adopters of inflation targeting by using a time varying credibility measure, we find that both the accuracy and the frequency of inflation announcements have a positive impact on how much attenti...

In this paper, the government consumption spending effects in a small open economy(SOE), are explored. In a standard active monetary/passive fiscal policy(AM/PF) regime, openness reduces the effectiveness of the government spending on output through the terms of trade decrease. Consumption decreases less than in the closed economy, but this effect is so weak that the output does not rise more t...