An approach to produce a model for the data generating distribution is the well-known maximum entropy method. In this approach, the partial knowledge about the data generating distribution is formulated in terms of a set of information constraints, usually moment constraints, and the inference is based on the model that maximizes Shannon’s entropy under these constraints. In this paper we inves...

[1] Probability distribution and power density of wind speed over global oceans are computed from eight years of QuikSCAT measurements. They describe the variation and higher moments of wind speed that are critical in relating the non-linear effects of wind on electric power generation capability, shipping hazard, and air-sea exchanges in heat, water, and greenhouse gases. The power density dis...

We obtain a heavy-traffic limit for the GI/M/n+GI queue which includes the entire abandonment distribution. Our main approach is to scale the hazard rate function in an appropriate way such that our resulting diffusion approximation contains the entire hazard rate function. We then show through numerical studies that for various key performance measures, our approximations outperform those comm...

An important issue in survival analysis is the investigation and the modeling of hazard rates. Within a Bayesian nonparametric framework, a natural and popular approach is to model hazard rates as kernel mixtures with respect to a completely random measure. In this paper we provide a comprehensive analysis of the asymptotic behavior of such models. We investigate consistency of the posterior di...

The effect of undersampling on estimating the size of extreme natural hazards from historical data is examined. Tests using synthetic catalogs indicate that the tail of an empirical size distribution sampled from a pure Pareto probability distribution can range from having one-to-several unusually large events to appearing depleted, relative to the parent distribution. Both of these effects are...

the main purpose of this study is landslide hazard assessment the ziarat watershed (golestan province) using information value and lnrf models within geographic information. at first stage, a landslide inventory map was prepared in the study area using earlier reports and aerial photographs, and a total of 50 landslides was mapped and out of which 35 (70%) were randomly selected for building la...

In this paper, the reconcilability between the P-value and the posterior probability in testing a point null hypothesis against the one-sided hypothesis is considered. Two essential families, non regular and exponential family of distributions, are studied. It was shown in a non regular family of distributions; in some cases, it is possible to find a prior distribution function under which P-va...

Objectives: To introduce a new two-parameter lifetime distribution that will be more flexible in modeling real data over the existing common distributions. Methods: The is generated by using Alpha Power Transformed model developed Mahdavi and Kundu. In this method, probability density function cumulative of Aradhana are used as base for generating Distribution. substituted to get real-life data...

Purpose – This study aims to focus on asset management of large-scale information systems supporting infrastructures and especially seeks to address a methodology of their statistical deterioration prediction based on their historical inspection data. Information systems are composed of many devices. Deterioration process i.e. wear-out failure generation process of those devices is formulated b...