نتایج جستجو برای: technological forecasting
تعداد نتایج: 124741 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
An Advanced Bayesian Method for Short-Term Probabilistic Forecasting of the Generation of Wind Power
Currently, among renewable distributed generation systems, wind generators are receiving a great deal of interest due to the great economic, technological, and environmental incentives they involve. However, the uncertainties due to the intermittent nature of wind energy make it difficult to operate electrical power systems optimally and make decisions that satisfy the needs of all the stakehol...
". ,. gather all the food of those good years that come. .. and that food shall be store to the land against the seven years of famine ." 1 Introduction The strategy of an enterprise is embodied in its strategic decisions, which are basic to it because "they deal with the direction of the enterprise, its future size and pattern of outputs and markets,. .. they determine the kind of company whic...
Computational intelligence approaches have gradually established themselves as a popular tool for forecasting the complicated financial markets. Forecasting accuracy is one of the most important features of forecasting models; hence, never has research directed at improving upon the effectiveness of time series models stopped. Nowadays, despite the numerous time series forecasting models propos...
Complex scientific problems like weather forecasting, computational fluid and combustion dynamics, computational drug design etc. essentially require large scale computational resources in order to obtain solution to the equations governing them. These solutions are obtained by developing large legacy codes and then executing them using parallel processing systems as they require large scale co...
The 1990 Clean Air Act Amendments (CAAA) and the Intermodal Surface Transportation Efficiency Act of 1991 (ISTEA) have defined a set of transportation control measures to counter the increase in the vehicle emissions and energy consumption due to increased travel. The value of these TCM strategies is unknown as there is limited data available to measure the travel effects of individual TCM stra...
In the rapidly growing, competitive information and communications technology market, demand forecasting for new technologies is difficult, yet important. Our study describes a forecasting methodology designed for newly introduced technology for which limited data is available that uses algebraic estimation, Bayesian updating, and conjoint analysis. In the estimation procedure of diffusion mode...
The Ships Of Opportunity Program in the Mediterranean Sea was established at the end of 1999, in the framework of the Mediterranean Forecasting System – Pilot Project (MFS-PP). Many improvements have been made in data collection, transmission and management. Calibration of selected XBTs and a comparison of XBTs vs. CTDs during some research cruises have assured the quality of the data. Transmis...
time series forecasting is an active research area that has drawn considerable attention for applications in a variety of areas. forecasting accuracy is one of the most important features of forecasting models. nowadays, despite the numerous time series forecasting models which have been proposed in several past decades, it is widely recognized that financial markets are extremely difficult to ...
I n this paper, we specify that the GARCH(1,1) model has strong forecasting volatility and its usage under the truncated standard normal distribution (TSND) is more suitable than when it is under the normal and student-t distributions. On the contrary, no comparison was tried between the forecasting performance of volatility of the daily return series using the multi-step ahead forec...
Three combination methods commonly used in tourism forecasting are the simple average method, the variance-covariance method and the discounted MSFE method. These methods assign the different weights that can not change at each time point to each individual forecasting model. In this study, we introduce the IOWGA operator combination method which can overcome the defect of previous three combin...
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