The drawbacks of pure probabilistic methods and of the certainty factor model have led us in recent years to consider alternate approaches. Particularly appealing is the mathematical theory of evidence developed by Arthur Dempster. We are convinced it merits careful study and interpretation in the context of expert systems. This theory was first set forth by Dempster in the 1960s and subsequent...

An approach to fuse multiple images based on Dempster-Shafer evidential reasoning is proposed in this article. Dempster-Shafer theory provides a complete framework for combining weak evidences from multiple sources. Such situations typically arise in the image fusion problems, where a ‘real scene’ image has to be estimated from incomplete and unreliable observations. By converting images from t...

Finding defects in software is a challenging and time and budget consuming task. Minimizing these adverse effects using software defect prediction models via guiding testers with defective parts of software system is an attractive research area. Previous research emphasized the value of these tools with a mean probability of detection of 71 percent and mean false alarm rates of 25 percent. This...

In this paper we present an application where we put together two methods for clustering and classification into a force aggregation method. Both methods are based on conflicts between elements. These methods work with different type of elements (intelligence reports, vehicles, military units) on different hierarchical levels using specific conflict assessment methods on each level. We use Demp...

This paper applies conformal prediction to derive predictive distributions that are valid under a nonparametric assumption. Namely, we introduce and explore predictive distribution functions that always satisfy a natural property of validity in terms of guaranteed coverage for IID observations. The focus is on a prediction algorithm that we call the Least Squares Prediction Machine (LSPM). The ...

Recently, Hummel and Landy proposed a variation on the Dempster/Shafer theory of evidence that tracks only the first and second order statistics of the opinions of sets of experts. This extension permits the tracking of statistics of probabilistic opinions, however, as opposed to tracking merely Boolean opinions (or possibilities within the "frame of discernment"). Both the Dempster/Shafer form...

Human resources are an important asset for the company to develop and realize company's goals. One of efforts optimize capacity employees is know their personality. Personality form possessed by individual in behaving all characteristics that distinguish one from another. Knowing personality themselves. Because knowing a person's personality, can maximize potential place certain positions suit ...

In this paper, a novel justification of the disjunctive combination rule for multiple independent sources of information based on the redefined combination-mapping rule of multiple multi-valued mappings in the product space of multiple independent sources of information is being proposed. The combination rule reveals a type of logical inference in the human judgment, that is, the OR rule. It ov...

In Dempster-Shafer (DS) theory, multiple information from the distinct information sources are combined to obtain a single Basic Probability Assignment (BPA) function. The well-known combination rule of Dempster-Shafer (DS) provides the weaker solution to the management of conflicting information at the normalization stage. Even this rule fails and provide the counter intuitive results while co...