BACKGROUND Previous efforts to forecast future trends in obesity applied linear forecasts assuming that the rise in obesity would continue unabated. However, evidence suggests that obesity prevalence may be leveling off. PURPOSE This study presents estimates of adult obesity and severe obesity prevalence through 2030 based on nonlinear regression models. The forecasted results are then used t...

Schistosomiasis has been a public health burden in a number of countries across the globe for centuries and probably beyond. The World Health Organization and partners are currently preparing to move towards elimination of this disease. However, given the historical challenges and barriers to ridding areas of this water-borne parasite infection, we question whether the current targets for elimi...

Universal health coverage and healthy lives for all are now widely shared goals and central to the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. Despite significant progress over the last decades, the world is still far from reaching these goals. Billions of people lack basic coverage of health services, live with unnecessary pain and disability, or have their lives cut short by avoidable or treatab...

Demographic computer microsimulation is applied to produce projections of numbers and distributions of close kin for the U.S. elderly of 2030. This paper reports results for the non-black population, with special emphasis on the numbers and possible roles of step-kin. The projections indicate that the elderly of 2030 are likely to be moderately deprived in terms of numbers of close living biolo...

Nitrate aerosols today and in 2030: importance relative to other aerosol species and tropospheric ozone S. E. Bauer, D. Koch, N. Unger, S. M. Metzger, D. T. Shindell, and D. G. Streets The Earth Institute at Columbia University, New York, USA NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, USA University of Vermont, Burlington, USA Max-Planck Institute for Chemistry, Mainz, Germany Argonne ...

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The Effects of Population Growth on Quantitative Indices of Education in Iran: The Prospects of Student Population up to 2030 M. Amiri In recent years, population experts have started to add the “level of education” as a variable to their demographic analyses. To analyze the dynamics of the student population and its prospects for the next 15 years, factors such as number ...