The Sarima model is used in this study to forecast the monthly temperature Ghana's northern region. researchers data from January 1990 December 2020. was found be stationary using Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) test. ACF and PACF plots proposed six SARIMA models: (1,0,0) (12), (2,0,0) (1,0,1) (0,0,1) (12). best chosen based on lowest Akaike Information Criteria (AICs) Bayesian (BIC) values. Ljun...

Unit Donor Darah (UDD) Kota Madiun melayani transfusi darah sekaligus menyediakan dari permintaan yang berasal Bank Rumah Sakit (BDRS) maupun langsung di wilayah dan sekitarnya. Pada tahun 2020, UDD telah berhasil memenuhi 97% darah, namun karena penyebaran virus Covid-19 semakin meluas maka diperlukan peramalan sampai akhir 2021. Berdasarkan analisis data pada sebelumnya diperoleh model terbai...

Traditional statistical analysis of network data is often employed to determine traffic distribution, to summarize user’s behavior patterns, or to predict future network traffic. Mining of network data may be used to discover hidden user groups, to detect payment fraud, or to identify network abnormalities. In our research we combine traditional traffic analysis with data mining technique. We a...

Fuzzy time series forecasting methods has got more and more attention in recent years since they have a good capability of forecasting real-world time series which contains uncertainty. There have been various fuzzy time series forecasting methods in the literature. On the other hand, just a few ones have been proposed to forecast seasonal time series. When a seasonal time series is forecasted,...

BACKGROUND During the last decades, dengue viruses have spread throughout the Americas region, with an increase in the number of severe forms of dengue. The surveillance system in Guadeloupe (French West Indies) is currently operational for the detection of early outbreaks of dengue. The goal of the study was to improve this surveillance system by assessing a modelling tool to predict the occur...

The study aimed to forecast and monitor drought over degraded land based on monthly precipitation using the Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) approach. Several statistical parameters select most appropriate model were applied. results indicate that SARIMA (1,1,1) (0,1,1)12 is suitable for 1981 2019 CHIRPS time-series data. combination of data this approved will subseque...