در این پژوهش سعی می‌­شود مدلی برای شبیه‌­سازی چرخه عمر صنعت برق با استفاده از شبیه‌سازی عامل­بنیان ارائه شود، مدل، 5 عامل استخراج شد و شبیه­‌سازی به کمک نرم‌افزار Anylogic صورت پذیرفت. بهینه‌­سازی مدل چهار سناریو نظر خبرگان شد. سناریوی نخست، جذابیت نیروگاه گازی سیکل ترکیبی کاهش یافت بر دو دیگر افزوده نتیجه افزایش تولید آبی است که توجه کمبود منابع کشور به‌صرفه نیست. دوم ورود یک فناوری جدید میزان...

Stochastic weather generators (SWGs) are digital twins of complex processes and widely used in agriculture urban design. Due to improved measuring instruments, an accurate SWG for high-frequency precipitation is now possible. However, data more zero-inflated, skewed, heavy-tailed than common (hourly or daily) data. Therefore, classical methods that either model occurrence independently their in...

Using climate scenarios from only 1 or a small number of global models (GCMs) in change impact studies may lead to biased assessment due large uncertainty projections. Ensemble means projections derived multi-GCM ensemble are often used as best estimates reduce bias. However, it is time consuming run process-based (e.g. hydrological and crop models) using numerous scenarios. It would be interes...

The human-powered self-generator provides the best solution for individuals who need an instantaneous power supply for travel, outdoor, and emergency use, since it is less dependent on weather conditions and occupies less space than other renewable power supplies. However, many commercial portable self-generators that employ hand-cranking are not used as much as expected in daily lives although...

Off-grid settlements require efficient, reliable and cost-effective renewable energy as alternative to the power supplied by diesel generator. Techno-economic analysis is required to find the optimum renewable energy system in the long run. This paper reviews the application of genetic algorithms in optimization of hybrid system consisting of pico hydro system, solar photovoltaic modules, diese...

برای دستیابی به مزیت رقابتی در شرایط عدم‌­اطمینان که آن تغییر ضروری است، یکی از چالش‌های بزرگ سازمان‌ها کاهش ریسک طریق ایجاد زنجیره‌های تأمین تاب‌آور است. تاب‌آوری زنجیره ‌تأمین توانایی مقابله با اختلال اشاره دارد یک رویداد غیرقابل‌پیش‌بینی بوده و دارای منابع داخلی خارجی مختلفی ازجمله بلایای طبیعی ریسک‌های عملیاتی پژوهش حاضر شبیه‌سازی توسط نرم‌افزار ارنا زنجیره‌ سنگ ساختمانی «کارخانه سنگبری آسم...

Portable generators are commonly used during electrical service interruptions that occur following large storms such as hurricanes. Nearly all portable generators use carbon based fuels and produce deadly carbon monoxide gas. Despite universal warnings to operate these generators outside only, the improper placement of generators makes these devices the leading cause of engine related carbon mo...