Theory: Contemporary theories of presidential election outcomes, especially the economic voting and spatial issue voting models, are used to examine voter choice in the 1996 presidential election. Hypotheses: First, we look at the e ects of voter perceptions of the national economy on voter support for Clinton. Second we look at the e ects of candidate and voter positions on ideology and on a n...

This study focuses on the distributive politics of presidential elections. Specifically, I research whether there is an economic advantage to being a swing state. Current literature on the subject supports the idea that money flows into swing states during presidential election years because of the Electoral College. My findings proved inconclusive; most likely because of limitations in the dat...

By DIANA GOLDENBERG Election Board will use the campaign rules as a guide, not as binding reo -slrictions, for the remainder 01 the stu· 'dent campaign , lhe Election Board chairman announced Friday. David Miller, A2, Wilmette, Ill" made lhe announcement in response to I statement by Robert Beller, A2, Glencoe, ilL , a presidential candidate, and his vice presidential running mate, Larr, Wood. ...

The recent failures of traditional poll models, like the predictions in United Kingdom with the Brexit, or in United States presidential election with the victory of Donald Trump, have been noteworthy. With the decline of traditional poll models and the growth of the social networks, automatic tools are gaining popularity to make predictions in this context. In this paper we present our approxi...

A t first glance, the outcome of the 2008 presidential election would appear to be very difficult to predict. For the first time in over 50 years, there will be no incumbent president or vice president in the race. Instead, the Republican Party, which has seen its popularity and electoral fortunes plummet since 2004, is pinning its hopes of retaining control of the White House on Arizona Senato...

Opinion polls have been the bridge between public opinion and politicians in elections. However, developing surveys to disclose people's feedback with respect to economic issues is limited, expensive, and time-consuming. In recent years, social media such as Twitter has enabled people to share their opinions regarding elections. Social media has provided a platform for collecting a large amount...

Twitter as a new form of social media potentially contains useful information that opens new opportunities for content analysis on tweets. This paper examines the predictive power of Twitter regarding the US presidential election of 2012. For this study, we analyzed 32 million tweets regarding the US presidential election by employing a combination of machine learning techniques. We devised an ...

The 2004 presidential election led to considerable discussion about whether moral values motivated people to vote, and if so, whether it led to a conservative electoral advantage. The results of two studies—one conducted in the context of the 2000 presidential election, the other in the context of the 2004 presidential election—indicated that stronger moral convictions associated with candidate...

Elections are defining moments in which the stability of democracies is tested. The behavior of losing parties is key in this stage of the democratic process. In authoritarian regimes, losing parties might reasonably challenge the outcome of elections as consequence of widespread and systematic fraud that reverts the outcome of the election. However, post-election disputes also happen in 21% of...

This paper provides original evidence from institutional investors that political uncertainty during presidential elections greatly affects investment. Using U.S. institutional ownership data from 1981 to 2010, we find that institutions significantly reduce their holdings of common stock by 0.76 to 2.1 percentage points during election years. More specifically, institutions tend to sell large p...