نتایج جستجو برای: arfima figarch model

تعداد نتایج: 2104479  

Journal: :Entropy 2015
Jaehyung Choi Andrew P. Mullhaupt

We construct geometric shrinkage priors for Kählerian signal filters. Based on the characteristics of Kähler manifold, an algorithm for finding the superharmonic priors is introduced. The algorithm is efficient and robust to obtain the Komaki priors. Several ansätze for the priors are also suggested. In particular, the ansätze related to Kähler potential are geometrically intrinsic priors to th...

2006
Simon Farrell Roger Ratcliff

Researchers in psychology are paying increasing attention to temporal correlations in performance on cognitive tasks. Recently, T. Thornton and D. L. Gilden (2005) introduced a spectral method for analysing psychological time series; in particular, this method is tailored to distinguish transient serial correlations from the persistent correlations characterised by 1/f noise. Thornton and Gilde...

2004
HENGHSIU TSAI

We study the autocorrelation structure and the spectral density function of aggregates from a discrete-time process. The underlying discrete-time process is assumed to be a stationary AutoRegressive Fractionally Integrated MovingAverage (ARFIMA) process, after suitable number of differencing if necessary. We derive closed-form expressions for the limiting autocorrelation function and the normal...

1999
Luis A. Gil-Alana

Financial support from ESRC grant number L116251013, Macroeconomic Modelling and Policy Analysis in a Changing Word is gratefully acknowledged. The usual disclaimer applies. Fractional integrated ARMA (ARFIMA) models are investigated in this article for different measures of the UK unemployment. The analysis is carried out using the Sowell (1992) procedure of estimating by maximum likelihood in...

ژورنال: :مجله برنامه ریزی و توسعه گردشگری 2015
حمید ابریشمی احمد قلی برکیش

پیش­بینی جریان آینده ی گردشگری ورودی برای تعیین مخارج سرمایه گذاری در صنعت گردشگری، هم برای بخش دولتی و هم برای بخش خصوصی، ضروری است. برای بخش دولتی و عمومی تخمین تقاضای گردشگری به منظور استفاده ی کارا از صنعت حمل ونقل و برنامه ریزی در نحوه ی تخصیص منابع حیاتی است. همچنین پیش بینی صحیح می­تواند برای بخش خصوصی مانند شرکت های حمل ونقل هوایی در برنامه ریزی و طرح ریزی خطوط هوایی، تجهیزات، امکانات ر...

2008
Rebecca J. Sela

In this paper, we discuss two distinct multivariate time series models that extend the univariate ARFIMA model. We describe algorithms for computing the covariances of each model, for computing the quadratic form and approximating the determinant for maximum likelihood estimation, and for simulating from each model. We compare the speed and accuracy of each algorithm to existing methods and mea...

Journal: :EURASIP J. Wireless Comm. and Networking 2016
Tomasz Andrysiak Lukasz Saganowski Wojciech Mazurczyk

The article proposes a novel two-stage network traffic anomaly detection method for the railway transportation critical infrastructure monitored using wireless sensor networks (WSN). The first step of the proposed solution is to find and eliminate any outlying observations in the analyzed parameters of the WSN traffic using a simple and fast one-dimensional quartile criterion. In the second ste...

Journal: :Computational Statistics & Data Analysis 2014
Shinichiro Shirota Takayuki Hizu Yasuhiro Omori

! ! The daily return and the realized volatility are simultaneously modeled in the stochastic volatility model with leverage and long memory. In addition to the stochastic volatility model with leverage for the daily returns, ARFIMA process is jointly considered for the realized volatilities. Using a state space representation of the model, we estimate parameters by Markov chain Monte Carlo met...

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