نتایج جستجو برای: autoregressive integrated moving average arima

تعداد نتایج: 737312  

2017
Cong Li Yu Han Zhenming Sun Zhenyong Wang

With service types and requirements of broadband satellite internet continuously increasing, improving QoS (Quality of Service) of satellite internet has attracted extensive attention. To reduce the impact of selfsimilarity caused by various of service traffic sources converging on satellite communication system, this paper establishes a novel model from the perspective of self-similar traffic ...

2016
Ani Shabri

This paper investigates the ability of a new hybrid forecasting model based on empirical mode decomposition (EMD), cluster analysis and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model to improve the accuracy of fishery landing forecasting. In the first step, the original fishery landing was decomposed into a finite number of Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs) and a residual by EMD. The seco...

Journal: :International journal of environmental research and public health 2016
Lingling Zhou Jing Xia Lijing Yu Ying Wang Yun Shi Shunxiang Cai Shaofa Nie

BACKGROUND We previously proposed a hybrid model combining both the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and the nonlinear autoregressive neural network (NARNN) models in forecasting schistosomiasis. Our purpose in the current study was to forecast the annual prevalence of human schistosomiasis in Yangxin County, using our ARIMA-NARNN model, thereby further certifying the reliabilit...

Journal: :Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference 2019

2014
Patrícia Ramos

This paper presents a predictive study applied to a manufacturing equipment in order to predict malfunctions, and consequently enabling predictive maintenance practices. ARIMA forecasting methods are successfully compared with neural networks models, both used over data obtained from a monitoring system that continuously keeps track of the relevant equipment parameters. The results show that bo...

2012
Hu Suk Lee Moon Her Michael Levine George E. Moore

17 Brucellosis is considered to be one of the most important zoonotic diseases in the world, 18 affecting underdeveloped and developing countries. The primary purpose of brucellosis control 19 is to prevent the spread of disease from animals (typically ruminants) to humans. The main 20 objective of this study was to retrospectively develop an appropriate time series model for cattle21 to-human ...

Journal: :international journal of civil engineering 0
l. zhang beijing university of technology

short-term traffic flow forecasting plays a significant role in the intelligent transportation systems (its), especially for the traffic signal control and the transportation planning research. two mainly problems restrict the forecasting of urban freeway traffic parameters. one is the freeway traffic changes non-regularly under the heterogeneous traffic conditions, and the other is the success...

Journal: :Mathematical Problems in Engineering 2022

It is meaningful and of certain theoretical value for the development economy through analyzing fluctuation rules international oil prices forecasting future trend prices. By composing autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model combination model-generalized conditional heteroskedasticity (ARIMA-GARCH) prices, study shows that ARIMA (1,1,0)-GARCH (1,1) more suitable short-term with h...

2012
Paolo Chirico

The paper presents an analysis of the seasonality of Italian daily electricity prices. Since the correct detection of the nature, stochastic or probabilistic, of the seasonality is crucial in ARIMA modeling, a test that allows such detection is presented. The application of this test to the Italian daily prices in the years 2008-11 has pointed to the presence of deterministic seasonality in the...

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