this paper employs a general non-linear analysis tool to analyse the nature of time series associated with the price (returns) of a particular company in tehran stock exchange. it is shown that the behavior of the process associated with the price (returns) time-series of this company is weakly chaotic, and due to the non-random behavior of the process, short term prediction of stock price is p...

Detecting unstable periodic orbits (UPOs) in chaotic systems based solely on time series is a fundamental but extremely challenging problem in nonlinear dynamics. Previous approaches were applicable but mostly for low-dimensional chaotic systems. We develop a framework, integrating approximation theory of neural networks and adaptive synchronization, to address the problem of time-series-based ...

This paper employs a general non-linear analysis tool to analyse the nature of time series associated with the price (returns) of a particular company in Tehran Stock Exchange. It is shown that the behavior of the process associated with the price (returns) time-series of this company is weakly chaotic, and due to the non-random behavior of the process, short term prediction of stock price is p...

The problem of chaotic time series prediction is studied in various disciplines now including engineering, medical and econometric applications. Chaotic time series are the output of a deterministic system with positive Liapunov exponent. A time series prediction is a suitable application for a neuronal network predictor. The NN approach to time series prediction is non-parametric, in the sense...

This paper presents a model for power load forecasting using support vector machine and chaotic time series. The new model can make more accurate prediction. In the past few years, along with power system privatization and deregulation, accurate forecast of electricity load has received increasing attention. According to the chaotic and non-linear characters of power load data, the model of sup...

A new method of estimating the noise level present in a chaotic hydrological time series is presented. The effectiveness of the method is first demonstrated using two artificial chaotic time series, i.e. the Henon map and the Lorenz equation, whose dynamic characteristics are known a priori, and then tested on two real hydrological time series: daily sfreamflow series observed in the Chao Phray...

This paper proposes a co-evolutionary recurrent neural network (CERNN) for the multi-step-prediction of chaotic time series, it estimates the proper parameters of phase space reconstruction and optimizes the structure of recurrent neural networks by co-evolutionary strategy. The searching space was separated into two subspaces and the individuals are trained in a parallel computational procedur...