This paper examines hedging effectiveness in Greek stock index futures market. We focus on various techniques to estimate variance reduction from constant and time-varying hedge ratios. For both available stock index futures contracts of the Athens Derivatives Exchange (ADEX), we employ a variety of models to derive and estimate the effectiveness of hedging. We measure hedging effectiveness usi...

This paper explores the properties of daily changes in the prices for near-term fed funds futures contracts. The paper finds these contracts to be excellent predictors of the fed funds rate, and shows that the claim of a nonzero term premium in the short-horizon contracts is more sensitive to outliers than previous research appears to have recognized. I find some statistically significant evide...

This paper investigates price uncertainties in weather derivatives contracts through a bootstrap approach. Futures prices are computed under a periodic ARMA model in an actuarial framework for two different locations, Paris and Chicago. We show that statistical errors may lead to substantial uncertainties on futures prices with confidence intervals up to 10% of the assessed prices.

This paper investigates the impact of price limits on the Brazilian futures markets using high frequency data. The aim is to identify whether there is a cool-off or a magnet effect. For that purpose, we examine a tick-by-tick data set that includes all contracts on the São Paulo stock index futures traded on the Brazilian Mercantile and Futures Exchange from January 1997 to December 1999. The r...

In this paper we investigate the statistical properties of wholesale electricity spot and futures prices traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange for delivery at the California-Oregon Border. Using daily data for the years 1998 and 1999, we find that many of the characteristics of the electricity market can be viewed to be broadly consistent with efficient markets. The futures risk premium fo...

Financial data mining models is considered to be “the hardest way to make easy money.” Data miners are certainly motivated by the prospect of discovering a financial “Holy Grail.” However, designing and implementing a successful model poses many intellectual challenges. These include securing and cleaning data; acquiring a sufficient amount of financial domain knowledge; bounding the complexity...

Annually between 1994 and 1998 over 400,000 acres of grain sorghum have been harvested in Missouri with an average yield of 86/bushels/acre. The average value of production during this period was over $90 million. Grain sorghum (milo) is an important crop for some Missouri producers. Many sorghum producers also produce corn, soybean, or wheat. Each of these commodities has an actively traded fu...

• We examine cross hedging effectiveness between FTSE100 and world stock index futures. Our daily dataset spans from August 2002 through November 2019. apply OLS, VECM Wavelet to calculate OHR & effectiveness. US E-Mini DJIA$5 Australia S&P/ASX 200 are the best pairs. The optimal period for pairs is 256 days or longer. This paper examines UK futures developed emerging markets: US, Australia, Br...

This paper relates predictable gains from positions in fed funds futures contracts to violations of the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates. Although evidence for predictable gains from positions in short-horizon contracts is mixed, we find that gains in longer-horizon contracts can be well described using Markov switching models, with predictability associated with ...

We provide an explanation for the explosive growth in the popularity of Stock Index Futures contracts. In our economy there are three broad classes of traders that place orders with a competitive market maker that sets a bid-ask spread arising from adverse selection. Informed traders trade on the basis of their private information about the value of particular securities. Liquidity traders trad...