T he lending activity of commercial banks has long received considerable attention as an important contributor to the performance of the economy. This attention has, perhaps, become sharper in the wake of the difficulties experienced by the banking industry in the 1980s. In recent years, the public perception of bank lending seems to have swung through a cycle. In the early 1990s, the prevailin...

Consumer finance has become one of the most important areas of banking both because of the amount of money being lent and the impact of such credit on the global economy and the realisation that the credit crunch of 2008 was partly due to incorrect modelling of the risks in such lending. This paper reviews the development of credit scoring,-the way of assessing risk in consumer finance-and what...

Providing financial service to Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) in Indonesia presents a challenge for small rural banks such as People’ Credit Banks. These banks are required to infer risks about customers’ loan repayment from structured (quantitative, financial) and unstructured (qualitative, non-financial) type of credit information. In this study, the complex nature of credit rela...

nowadays, credit risk is recognized as one of the most important bankruptcy factors of banks and financial institutions. in order to manage and control this risk, design of credit rating models is undeniable necessity. credit rating is used to identify the probability of credit default and on the other side classify the customers into two groups: good and bad accounts. until now, various statis...

Credit risk represents by far the biggest risk in the activities of a traditional bank. In particular, during recession periods financial institutions loose enormous amounts as a consequence of bad loans and default events. Traditionally the risk arising from a loan contract could not be transferred and remained in the books of the lending institution until maturity. This has changed completely...

The article proposes a model of credit risk assessment on the basis of factor analysis of retail clients / borrowers in order to ensure predictive control of the level of risk posed by potential clients in commercial banks engaged in consumer lending. The aim of the study is to determine the level of risk represented by different groups (classes) of retail clients (borrowers) in order to reduce...

Based on the idea of KMV model to build China's local government debt credit risk model, and associate the credit risk with borrowing scale to put forward the moderate debt scale of local government. Studies show that: The credit risks of local government debt is very sensitive to debt scale, When debt scale increases to a certain extent, the government’s default probability will rise sharply, ...

A factor model for short-term probabilities of default and other corporate exits is proposed for generating default correlations while permitting missing data. The factor model can then be used to produce portfolio credit risk profiles (default-rate and portfolio-loss distributions) by complementing an existing credit portfolio aggregation method with a novel simulationconvolution algorithm. We...

The credit guarantee system for small and medium enterprises (SMEs, here in after) has been established for more than 10 years in China. There are so many problems resulting in low-effective operation of the credit guarantee system, such as the risks share and amplification multiple of guarantee determined by financial institutions and guarantee organization to reasonably are unreasonable. Aimi...