This paper reexamines the oil price-macroeconomy relationship with rolling Granger causality and structural stability tests. It finds that the relationship broke down amidst the falling oil prices and market collapse of the 1980s, suggesting misspecification of the oil price rather than a weakened relationship. Some proposed respecifications of the oil price yield considerable improvements, alt...

Bank of Canada working papers are theoretical or empirical works-in-progress on subjects in economics and finance. The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors. No responsibility for them should be attributed to the Bank of Canada. ii Acknowledgements We thank the editor, three anonymous referees, Dijk and Timo Wollmershäuser as well as numerous conference and seminar participants...

The current study investigates the impact of real oil price shocks on Eurozone banking sector from February 2009 to 2022, using Structural Vector Autoregressive method distinguish reaction between bank indices and three structural indicators in market shocks. include global demand, supply shock, specific Our findings show that responds positively toward an oil-specific demand shock (oil price) ...

A remarkable feature of the crude oil market is a dramatic rise in oil price volatility over time which has been accompanied by a substantial fall in oil production volatility. We investigate the sources of this opposite evolution of both oil market variables. Our main …nding is that the observed volatility puzzle can be rationalized by the fact that the price elasticities of both oil supply an...

The world economy has a massive range of issues, including political instability, social unrest, unchecked corruption, unemployment, extreme poverty, etc. Developed countries have the resources to control it some extent but is difficult remove all evils in economy. oil crisis made things worse. This study proved that stability institutions was directly harmed by relationship between prices and ...

We investigate how the dynamic e¤ects of oil supply shocks on the US economy have changed over time. We …rst document a remarkable structural change in the oil market itself, i.e. a considerably steeper, hence, less elastic oil demand curve since the mid-eighties. Accordingly, a typical oil supply shock is currently characterized by a much smaller impact on world oil production and a greater e¤...