The 2012 drought was one of the most extensive drought events in half a century, resulting in over USD 12 billion in economic loss in the United States and substantial indirect impacts on global food security and commodity prices. An important feature of the 2012 drought was rapid development and intensification in late spring/early summer, a critical time for crop development and investment pl...

Abstract Despite an urgent demand for reliable seasonal prediction of precipitation in California (CA) due to the recent recurrent and severe drought conditions, our predictive skill CA winter remains limited. October hindcasts by coupled dynamical models typically show a correlation about 0.3 (November–March) precipitation. In this study, attempt is made understand underlying processes that li...

An analogue method is presented to detect the occurrence of heavy precipitation events without relying on modeled precipitation. The approach is based on using composites to identify distinct large-scale atmospheric conditions associated with widespread heavy precipitation events across local scales. These composites, exemplified in the south-central,midwestern, andwesternUnited States, are der...

1. Introduction A number of studies have shown that the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) have a strong influence on the atmospheric circulation and precipitation patterns in the Recent studies also suggest that the MJO-related tropical forcing is linked to precipitation events along the west coast of the United State during the winter season (Mo and Higgins 1998; Higgins et al. 2000). Dynamical ...