COVID-19 has developed into a global public health emergency and led to restrictions in numerous nations. Thousands of deaths have resulted from the infection millions individuals globally. Additionally, had significant impact on social economic activity around world. The elderly those with existing medical issues, however, are particularly vulnerable effects COVID-19. Pneumonia, acute respirat...

Two on step ahead wind speed forecasting models were compared. A univariate model was developed using a linear autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA). This method’s performance is well studied for a large number of prediction problems. The other is a multivariate model developed using a nonlinear autoregressive exogenous artificial neural network (NARX). This uses the variables: barom...

In this study, a vector autoregression (VAR) model with time-varying parameters (TVP) to predict the daily Indian rupee (INR)/US dollar (USD) exchange rates for the Indian economy is developed. The method is based on characterization of the TVP as an optimal control problem. The methodology is a blend of the flexible least squares and Kalman filter techniques. The out-of-sample forecasting perf...

To scientifically predict the future energy demand of Shandong province, this study chose the past energy demand of Shandong province during 1995–2015 as the research object. Based on building model data sequences, the GM-ARIMA model, the GM (1,1) model, and the ARIMA model were used to predict the energy demand of Shandong province for the 2005–2015 data, the results of which were then compare...

This paper presents a comprehensive study of ANFIS+ARIMA+IT2FLS models for forecasting the weather of Raipur, Chhattisgarh, India. For developing the models, ten year data (2000-2009) comprising daily average temperature (dry-wet), air pressure, and wind-speed etc. have been used. Adaptive Network Based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) and Auto Regressive Moving Average (ARIMA) models based on In...

Time series forecasting plays a significant role in numerous applications, including but not limited to, industrial planning, water consumption, medical domains, exchange rates and consumer price index. The main problem is insufficient accuracy. present study proposes hybrid methods to address this need. proposed method includes three models. first model based on the autoregressive integrated m...

Keywords: Demand forecasting Genetic algorithm–simulated annealing (GA–SA) Support vector regression (SVR) Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) General regression neural networks (GRNN) Third generation (3G) mobile phone a b s t r a c t Taiwan is one of the countries with higher mobile phone penetration rate in the world, along with the increasing maturity of 3G relevant products, t...

Abstract: This paper proposed a new method to estimate the missing data by using the filtering process. We used datasets without missing data and randomly missing data to evaluate the new method of estimation by using the Box Jenkins modeling technique to predict monthly average rainfall for site 5504035 Lahar Ikan Mati at Kepala Batas, P. Pinang station in Malaysia. The rainfall data was colle...

A new generalized predictive control algorithm for a kind of input-output bilinear system is proposed in the paper (BGPC). The algorithm combines bilinear and linear terms of I/O bilinear system, and constitutes an ARIMA model analogous to linear systems. Using optimization predictive information fully, the algorithm carries out multi-step predictions by recursive approximation. The heavy compu...

        This paper proposes a new forecasting model for investigating relationship between the price of crude oil, as an important energy source and GDP of the US, as the largest oil consumer, and the UK, as the oil producer. GMDH neural network and MLFF neural network approaches, which are both non-linear models, are employed to forecast GDP responses to the oil price changes. The resul...