We consider the chain ladder reserving method in a Bayesian set up, which allows for combining individual claims development data with portfolio information as for instance development patterns from industry-wide data. We derive the Bayes estimators and the credibility estimators within this Bayesian framework. We show that the credibility estimators are exact Bayesian in the case of the expone...

We study the properties of the Minimum Description Length principle for sequence prediction, considering a two-part MDL estimator which is chosen from a countable class of models. This applies in particular to the important case of universal sequence prediction, where the model class corresponds to all algorithms for some fixed universal Turing machine (this correspondence is by enumerable semi...

In this paper, the generalized Bayes estimator of mean vector parameter for multivariate normal distribution with Unknown and covariance matrix is considered. This estimation performed under balanced-LINEX error loss function. The by using wavelet transformation investigated. We also prove admissibility minimaxity shrinkage we present simulation study real data set test validity new estimator.

ABSTRACT. A bivariate distribution with continuous margins can be uniquely decomposed via a copula and its marginal distributions. We consider the problem of estimating the copula function and adopt a nonparametric Bayesian approach. On the space of copula functions, we construct a finite dimensional approximation subspace which is parameterized by a doubly stochastic matrix. A major problem he...

X1, . . . , Xn iid ∼ N (θ, σ), with σ known. Our goal is to estimate θ under squared-error loss. For our first guess, pick the natural estimator X. Note that it has constant risk σ 2 n , which suggests minimaxity because we know that Bayes estimators with constant risk are also minimax estimators. However, X is not Bayes for any prior, because under squared-error loss unbiased estimators are Ba...

The author proposes to use weighted likelihood to approximate Bayesian inference when no external or prior information is available. He proposes a weighted likelihood estimator that minimizes the empirical Bayes risk under relative entropy loss. He discusses connections among the weighted likelihood, empirical Bayes and James–Stein estimators. Both simulated and real data sets are used for illu...