As the impacts of climate change become increasingly evident, resource managers and conservationists are being challenged to rethink long-held assumptions and strategies. Preparing for and coping with the effects of climate change—or climate adaptation—is becoming an overarching framework for conservation, and offers insight into the reconsideration of existing goals and strategies. This is an ...

Climate change is already affecting European biodiversity, as demonstrated by changes in species’ ranges and ecosystem boundaries, shifts in reproductive cycles and growing seasons, and changes to the complex ways in which species interact (predation, pollination, competition and disease). These effects vary between regions and ecosystems. Strategies adopted to mitigate or adapt to climate chan...

Uncertain climate system response has been raised as a concern regarding solar geoengineering. We explore the effects of geoengineering on one source of climate system uncertainty by evaluating the intermodel spread across 12 climate models participating in the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison project. The model spread in simulations of climate change and the model spread in the response to...

1 I am a Member of the Climate Change Authority, a statutory body which has responsibility, among other things, for reviewing the operations of the Renewable Energy Target. The views stated here are my own, and should not be assumed to represent those of the Authority or of other Members.

We apply belief functions to an analysis of future climate change. It is shown that the lower envelope of a set of probabilities bounded by cumulative probability distributions is a belief function. The large uncertainty about natural and socioeconomic factors influencing estimates of future climate change is quantified in terms of bounds on cumulative probability. This information is used to c...

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Here we present a set of regional climate scenarios of sea level rise for the northeast Atlantic Ocean. In this study, the latest observations and results obtained with state-of-the-art climate models are combined. In addition, regional effects due to ocean dynamics and changes in the Earth’s gravity field induced by melting of land-based ice masses have been taken into account. The climate sce...

128 LLE Review, Volume 94 Introduction The recent gradual increase in Earth’s average temperature1 is generating intense interest in both public and scientific circles. It is important that physicists understand the basic energetics in climatology. While excellent climatology texts such as Hartmann’s2 exist, materials generally available to the undergraduate physics major and instructor lack a ...