We introduce the notion of continuous invertibility on a compact set for volatility models driven by a Stochastic Recurrence Equation (SRE). We prove the strong consistency of the Quasi Maximum Likelihood Estimator (QMLE) when the optimization procedure is done on a continuously invertible domain. This approach gives for the first time the strong consistency of the QMLE used by Nelson in [29] f...

صخلملا Seasonal variation of zooplankton biomass has been carried out at two selected sites on Greater Zab River. Monthly samples of water were collected during period from January to December 2008. Some physico-chemical properties of water were studied including water temperature (from 8 to 30.5 C), hydrogen ion concentration (from 6.3 to 8), EC (from 255 to 821 μs.cm), turbidity (1085 NTU), d...

خلا صلا ـ ة : عون نم يفيكتلا ةانقلا ردقم ءادلأ اًضرع ثحبلا اذه مدقي LMS ةيئاضفلا ةرفشملا تاعومجملا مظن يف نييئاوه مدختست يتلا ةينمزلا لإل اسر ل لابقتسلال اًدحاو اًيئاوهو . و ةانق يه ةمدختسملا ةيكلسلالا ةانقلا Rayleigh ءاضوضلا دوجوب ىسواجلا (Gaussian) يمجتلا جارخلاا يف يع . و حضوت ثحبلا جئاتن إ دحاو لماعم يذ ةانق ردقم مادختساب زاحنم ريغ ريدقت ىلع لوصحلا ةيناكم ) يراسم نم لكل لإا ةراش .( و وحن ةيف...

In this paper we introduce an exponential continuous time GARCH(p, q) process. It is defined in such a way that it is a continuous time extension of the discrete time EGARCH(p, q) process. We investigate stationarity, mixing and moment properties of the new model. An instantaneous leverage effect can be shown for the exponential continuous time GARCH(p, p) model.

In this work we study the effect of some electrical prosperities on synthetic rubber reinforced with carbon black diluted in heptanes with concentrations from 0.2% gm/mole to 2.0% gm/ mole in temperatures range (100, 150, 200, 250, 300) C associated with amount weight of black carbon 5wt% added to the diluted rubber. The results of electrical properties measurement of Buna rubber reinforced wit...

This research investigates the hedging effectiveness of stock index futures markets in Malaysia and Singapore by employing various hedge ratio estimation methods, which comprises of the conventional OLS model, VECM, EGARCH and bivariate GARCH. The empirical results indicate that the Kuala Lumpur Futures Index (KLFI) provides higher hedging effectiveness compared to the Straits Times Index (STI)...

Background: In light of the latest global financial crisis and the ongoing sovereign debt crisis, accurate measuring of market losses has become a very current issue. One of the most popular risk measures is Value-at-Risk (VaR). Objectives: Our paper has two main purposes. The first is to test the relative performance of selected GARCH-type models in terms of their ability of delivering volatil...

Beta-t-EGARCH models in which the dynamics of the logarithm of scale are driven by the conditional score are known to exhibit attractive theoretical properties for the t-distribution and general error distribution (GED). The generalized-t includes both as special cases. We derive the information matrix for the generalized-t and show that, when parameterized with the inverse of the tail index, i...