The extratropical annular-mode-like atmospheric responses to ENSO and global warming and the internal variability of annular modes are associated with similar, yet distinct, dynamical characteristics. In particular, La Niña, global warming, and the positive phase of annular modes are all associated with a poleward shift of midlatitude jet streams and surface westerlies. To improve understanding...

173 Temperature regulates almost all biogeochemical processes. Future climate warming will therefore have a profound effect on ecosystem functions and services such as carbon storage1. For example, climate warming influences terrestrial primary production directly by changing the leaf process intensity , but also indirectly by increasing soil nutrient mineralization2–4, changing soil water avai...

The likelihood of major changes in the global climate, caused by continuing emissions of greenhouse gases has led to numerous proposals for reductions in emissions, with the Kyoto Protocol being only a small and incomplete step. As well as the usual problems associated with decision-making under uncertainty, measures for mitigation of global warming involve a cascade of long time-scales associa...

Prediction of monsoon changes in the coming decades is important for infrastructure planning and sustainable economic development. The decadal prediction involves both natural decadal variability and anthropogenic forcing. Hitherto, the causes of the decadal variability of Northern Hemisphere summer monsoon (NHSM) are largely unknown because the monsoons over Asia, West Africa, and North Americ...

A semi-empirical relation is presented that connects global sea-level rise to global mean surface temperature. It is proposed that, for time scales relevant to anthropogenic warming, the rate of sea-level rise is roughly proportional to the magnitude of warming above the temperatures of the pre-Industrial Age. This holds to good approximation for temperature and sea-level changes during the 20t...

The differential warming of land and ocean leads to many continental regions in the Northern Hemisphere warming at rates higher than the global mean temperature. Adaptation and conservation efforts will, therefore, benefit from understanding regional consequences of limiting the global mean temperature increase to well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels, a limit agreed upon at the United Nat...

Designing efficient policies to slow global warming requires an approach that combines economic tools with relations from the natural sciences. The dynamic integrated climate-economy (DICE) model presented here, an intertemporal general-equilibrium model of economic growth and climate change, can be used to investigate alternative approaches to slowing climate change. Evaluation of five policie...

This paper presents an update on the detection and attribution of global annual mean surface air temperature changes, using recently developed climate models. In particular, it applies a new methodology that permits the inclusion of many more general circulation models (GCMs) into the analysis, and it also includes more recent observations. This methodology involves fitting a series of energy b...

global warming is one of the major concerns in environmental issues. its effects are being exposed faster than anticipated recently. it causes adverse ecological and socioeconomical effects. the 4th assessment report issued by the u. n.’s intergovernmental panel on climate change (ipcc) states that it is appropriate to define global warming was caused by greenhouse gases due to human activities...

Efforts to understand the influence of historical global warming on individual extreme climate events have increased over the past decade. However, despite substantial progress, events that are unprecedented in the local observational record remain a persistent challenge. Leveraging observations and a large climate model ensemble, we quantify uncertainty in the influence of global warming on th...