GDP is measured with error. But data uncertainty rarely communicated quantitatively in real-time. An exception are the fan charts for historical growth published by Bank of England. To assess how well understood is, we first evaluate accuracy and compare them models past revisions data. Secondly, to gauge perceptions across a wider set experts, conduct new online survey. Our results call greate...

Abstract This paper provides estimates of persistence in historical UK data on life expectancy applying fractional integration methods to both an annual series from 1842 2019 and a 5-year average 1543 2019. method is the most appropriate for our purposes since it more general flexible than classical based integer differentiation. The results indicate that former exhibits upward trend persistent...