This paper describes the development of a fuzzy decision support system (FDSS) for the assessment of risk in e-commerce (EC) development. A Web-based prototype FDSS is designed and developed to assist EC project managers in identifying potential EC risk factors and the corresponding project risks. A risk analysis model for EC development using a fuzzy set approach is proposed and incorporated i...

Spatial data mining fulfills real needs of many geomatic applications. It allows taking advantage of the growing availability of geographically referenced data and their potential richness. This includes the risk analysis linked to a territory such as epidemic risk or traffic accident risk in the road network. This work deals with the method of decision tree for spatial data classification. Thi...

This paper presents investigation effects of a sharp edged gust on aeroelastic behavior and time-domain response of a typical section model using Jones approximate aerodynamics for pure plunging motion. Flutter analysis has been done by using p and p-k methods developed for presented finite-state aerodynamic model for a typical section model (airfoil). Introduction of gust analysis as a linear ...

OBJECTIVE To detect and explain changing trends in incidence, case fatality rates, and mortality for unintentional injuries in the Netherlands for the years 1950 through 1995. METHODS Using national registry data, the authors analyzed trends in traffic injuries, occupational injuries, and home and leisure injuries. RESULTS Between 1950 and 1970, mortality from unintentional injuries rose, r...

The relationship of the clavigerite genera Diartiger Sharp and Microdiartiger Sawada is discussed, and the synonymy of the two genera proposed by Besuchet (1986) is followed. This results in two new combinations: D. thinhi (Nomura), comb. n. and D. songxiaobini (Yin & Li), comb. n. Two new species, D. dentatus Yin & Li, sp. n. and D. yaoluopingensis Yin & Li, sp. n. are described from Anhui, Ea...

The effects of sodium bicarbonate concentration, population density, and temperature on the maintenance of an outdoor monoculture of the cyanobacterium Spirulina platensis were studied. A clear response by Spirulina to the concentration of bicarbonate was evident, with 0.2M bicarbonate representing the lowest concentration in which a monoculture could be maintained. When the temperatures fell d...

Security risk analysis should be conducted regularly to maintain an acceptable level of security. In principle, all risks that are unacceptable according to the predefined criteria should be mitigated. However, risk mitigation comes at a cost, and only the countermeasures that cost-efficiently mitigate risks should be implemented. This paper presents an approach to integrate the countermeasure ...

The present paper should be seen as a basis for discussion of important aspects of risk analysis and assessment, as well as attempting to describe risk assessment in accordance with the present state of the art. Risk assessment is thus presented in an overview form from the viewpoint of being a means for decision-making and thus within the formal framework of decision theory. First the motivati...

Quantile assessments are commonly encountered in the elicitation of probability distributions in decision analysis, forecasting, and risk analysis. Scoring rules have been developed to provide ex ante incentives for careful and truthful assessments and ex post evaluation measures in the context of probability assessment. We show that these scoring rules designed for probability assessment provi...

Using data from a large, U.S. federal job training program, we investigate whether enrolment incentives that exogenously vary the ‘shadow prices’ for serving different demographic subgroups of clients influence case workers’ intake decisions. We show that case workers enroll more clients from subgroups whose shadow prices increase but select at the margin weaker-performing members from those su...